Parma and Cagliari, two mid-table sides meet in what promises to be a close Serie A encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. The Gli Emiliani head into the match with no fresh injury issues and full of confidence after a hard-fought 1–0 victory over AC Milan. Their recent form is improving (LLWWW), though their home record remains shaky, averaging just 1.00 point per game and scoring only 0.75 goals per home match. Defensive numbers are also a concern at the Tardini, where they concede 1.75 goals on average and post an xGA of 1.57.
Cagliari, meanwhile, travel without suspended centre-back Yerry Mina, a significant loss given their inconsistency at the back, particularly away from home where they concede 1.80 goals per match. However, they have been competitive overall, posting identical home and away points-per-game figures (1.40). Their away scoring rate of 1.20 offers some encouragement, and recent form (WWLLD) shows they are capable of sharp swings in performance.
H2H history slightly favours Cagliari (12 wins from 26), with 73% of those fixtures producing over 1.5 goals. Therefore, this betting option should be considered, alongside Both Teams to Score and Half-Time Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Parma vs Cagliari prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Parma 1 - 1 Cagliari
Parma vs Cagliari Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 450 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mateo Pellegrino @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mateo Pellegrino @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Alessandro Deiola @ 100 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Cagliari +0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Cagliari +1 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Parma - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Parma vs Cagliari?
You can place your bets on Parma vs Cagliari at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferParma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwww | 1.50 |
| Home | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlww | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.57 | 1.82 |
Cagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.52 | 1.71 |
Parma vs Cagliari Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Parma (23%)
26 Matches
Cagliari (46%)
