Relegation nerves meet poor form here, and it’s hard to dress this one up as a classic. As Lecce want this win more than the almost relegated hosts, we predict a 1-0 away triumph. Pisa are rooted to the bottom for a reason—just one win in ten, a league-low scoring output (0.5 goals per game), and a worrying 70% failure-to-score rate. Injuries to key attacking players only make things worse, leaving them blunt going forward and fragile at the back.
Lecce aren’t exactly flying either, but they at least have more structure and a clearer path to survival. Even with a few doubts in the squad, the Giallorossi have shown they can grind results, and crucially, they’re facing a side that struggles massively to create chances. Pisa’s home numbers offer little encouragement, and their inability to score consistently is a major red flag. The likes of Fofana, Gaspar, and Sottil are doubtful for the away team.
The head-to-head trends also hint at a tight, low-scoring affair, and nothing in the current data suggests a sudden goal fest. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Lecce to Win and Lecce to Score First as Pisa are low on confidence sitting at the rock bottom.
This Serie A match will be played on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Pisa vs Lecce prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Pisa 0 - 1 Lecce
Pisa vs Lecce Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Francesco Camarda @ 220 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Arturo Calabresi @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lecce 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Lecce +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lecce to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lecce to Win/Lecce to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lecce - Yes @ 125 Odds
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View OfferPisa Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwlllll | 0.30 |
| Home | llwll | 0.60 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.18 | 1.73 |
Lecce Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwlllldd | 0.80 |
| Home | lwld | 1.00 |
| Away | wlllld | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.62 | 1.28 |
Pisa vs Lecce Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Pisa (43%)
7 Matches
Lecce (57%)
Pisa vs Lecce Past Results
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