Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips | 15/03/2026

Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction and Betting Tips | 15 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

11 March 2026 • 08:51 UTC • 1 min read

Sassuolo vs Bologna Prediction and Betting Tips 15 March 2026

Sassuolo look to bounce back from an unlucky last-minute 2-1 loss to Lazio, but doubts over Fadera and Boloca complicate preparations. As Sassuolo and Bologna seem to be evenly matched ahead of Serie A round 29, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Neroverdi’s recent form is mixed (LWWWL), yet their home numbers remain solid with 1.80 PPG and 60% home wins. They average 3.00 goals per home match, though defensive issues persist as they concede 1.80 at Mapei. Their 1.01 xG vs 2.11 xGA at home confirms that opponents often create more and better chances.

Bologna, on the other hand, are determined to recover from a disappointing 2-1 defeat to Verona. Heggem and Miranda are doubtful, while key striker Ferguson is suspended. Even so, the Rossoblu remain one of Serie A’s strongest away performers: 4 wins from 4, conceding just 0.25 goals per game on the road, supported by an impressive 0.70 xGA. They average 1.75 goals scored away and keep 75% clean sheets, reflecting excellent balance and discipline.

As Bologna’s away matches are tight (only 2.25 avg. goals), we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Bologna or Draw and Over 9.5 corners bets seem appealing.

This Serie A match will be played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00.

What is our Sassuolo vs Bologna prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Sassuolo 1 - 1 Bologna

Sassuolo vs Bologna Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Andrea Pinamonti @ 160 Odds
First Goalscorer: Andrea Pinamonti @ 500 Odds
To be Booked: Luca Barani @ 140 Odds
Asian Handicap: Bologna +0.5 @ -182 Odds
European Handicap: Bologna +2 @ -275 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
Clean Sheet: Sassuolo - No @ -300 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Sassuolo vs Bologna?

You can place your bets on Sassuolo vs Bologna at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Sassuolo Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lllwwlwwwl	1.50
Home	lwlww	1.80
Away	llwwl	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.00	2.60
Scored	1.20	1.20	1.20
Conceded	1.60	1.80	1.40
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.18	1.01	1.35
Expected Goals Against	1.85	2.11	1.60

Bologna Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlldwwwwwl	1.90
Home	lldwwl	1.17
Away	wwww	3.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	33%	100%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	1.83	2.00
Scored	1.10	0.67	1.75
Conceded	0.80	1.17	0.25
BTTS	30%	33%	25%
Clean Sheets	50%	33%	75%
Failed to Score	20%	33%	0%
Expected Goals	1.60	1.53	1.69
Expected Goals Against	0.90	1.03	0.70