What is our Sassuolo vs Milan prediction?
Sassuolo
1 - 1
Milan
Our prediction for this match: Sassuolo 1 - 1 Milan
Sassuolo vs Milan Preview
Sassuolo and Milan face each other in Reggio Emilia in what promises to be a close Serie B encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. I Nerovardi have quietly built strong momentum, especially at home where they boast 80% wins and average 1.8 goals scored while conceding just 0.8. Their overall form (1.70 PPG) is solid, and despite doubts over Romagna and Bakola, they look well-balanced and confident. BTTS hitting 70% also highlights their open style.
AC Milan, meanwhile, continue their push for a Champions League spot, but their attacking numbers are concerning—just 0.8 goals scored per game and a 50% failure-to-score rate. On the positive side, their defense is reliable (0.9 conceded, 50% clean sheets away). The absence of Luka Modric limits creativity, which is already an issue. Sassuolo’s home strength makes them dangerous, but Milan’s organization and motivation could tilt the balance slightly.
Considering contrasting styles and evenly matched trends, we believe that there is big value in betting on Draw, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.
This Serie A match will be played on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at 14:00.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Sun 3 May, 14:00UK time
Sassuolo vs Milan Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreSassuolo 1-1 Milan | 650 | |
| Double Chance1X | 110 | |
| Draw No BetAC Milan | -350 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeDraw / Draw | 500 | |
| Asian HandicapSassuolo +1 | -149 | |
| European HandicapSassuolo +2 | -250 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -143 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | 110 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Clean SheetAC Milan: No | -225 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRafael Leao | 110 | |
| First GoalscorerRafael Leao | 400 | |
| To be BookedStrahinja Pavlovic | 210 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferSassuolo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlldwlwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wldld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.69 | 1.73 |
Milan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwlwllwd | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwwld | 1.33 |
| Away | wllw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.16 |
Sassuolo vs Milan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sassuolo (28%)
25 Matches
Milan (52%)
Sassuolo vs Milan Past Results
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