BMO Field will be packed when Portugal and Croatia go head to head in the World Cup last 32. Given the number of top-class players in Roberto Martinez's team, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. Portugal had an inconsistent group campaign, crushing Uzbekistan 5-0 but being held to draws by both DR Congo and Colombia. Their goalless draw with Colombia exposed some defensive issues, as Roberto Martinez's men allowed 24 shots and 1.70 expected goals against (xGA). Midfielder Joao Neves is expected to return to the starting XI, while winger Rafael Leao is pushing for a place in attack. Despite the mixed results, Portugal have lost just one of their last ten matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and producing 1.99 expected goals (xG) per game, proving they remain a major threat going forward.
Croatia secured their place in the knockout stages with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Ghana, and Zlatko Dalic has no fresh injury concerns ahead of this encounter. Manchester City defender Josko Gvardiol is expected to return to the starting XI to strengthen the back line. Croatia have won seven of their last ten matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored, but they have also conceded 1.5 goals per game, while both teams have scored in 70% of those outings.
The Portuguese possess greater individual quality and should edge a closely contested battle. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (both sides have enough attacking talent to produce an entertaining encounter).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Friday 3 July 2026 at 00:00.
What is our Portugal vs Croatia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia
Portugal vs Croatia Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferPortugal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdwwwdwd | 1.90 |
| Home | dwwwdw | 2.33 |
| Away | ldwd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.50 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 3.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 83% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.99 | 2.19 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.97 | 1.41 |
Croatia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwllwlww | 2.10 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.59 |
Portugal vs Croatia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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