Senegal and Iraq face off in their final Group I fixture, with the Lions of Teranga knowing that only a victory will keep their hopes of reaching the World Cup knockout stages alive. As Senegal will not have a better chance than this to return to winning ways, we predict a 3-1 home win. After suffering a dramatic 3-2 defeat to Norway, Senegal find themselves under pressure heading into this decisive encounter. Despite the loss, there were plenty of positives for Pape Thiaw's side. Ismaila Sarr produced an excellent display, scoring twice against Norway, and he is expected to play a key role once again. However, Senegal, who average 2.70 goals per game, have been dealt a significant blow, with first-choice goalkeeper Edouard Mendy suffering a knee injury. Mory Diaw is likely to deputize between the posts.
Iraq, meanwhile, have only slim chances of progressing after consecutive defeats to Norway (4-1) and France (3-0). The Lions of Mesopotamia have struggled defensively and have scored just once in two tournament matches. Their task becomes even harder with striker Aymen Hussein expected to miss out after picking up an injury in the defeat to France.
As The Lions of Teranga have far more to play for and boast superior quality, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Senegal Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Senegal will likely attack from the first whistle in a must-win match).
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Senegal vs Iraq prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Senegal 3 - 1 Iraq
Senegal vs Iraq Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferSenegal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwldll | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.77 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.33 |
Iraq Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwwdlll | 1.30 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | wllwdl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 0.87 | 1.01 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.44 |
Senegal vs Iraq Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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