Ukraine welcome Sweden in a tense playoff encounter, with the hosts looking confident after a crucial 2-0 win over Iceland. As Sweden have been performing below expectations in the World Cup qualifiers, we predict a 2-1 home win. A key figure for Ukraine will again be Heorhiy Sudakov, who continues to grow into a decisive attacking presence. Ukraine’s home form has been strong, averaging 2.25 points per game, while scoring 1.75 goals per match and keeping 25% clean sheets in that stretch. Their xG at home sits at 1.57, showing consistent chance creation even when finishing is inconsistent. You should bear in mind, though, that this match will be played at Estadi Ciutat de Valencia (Spain).
Sweden travel to Valencia with mixed form, having taken just 0.80 PPG away from home and scoring only 1.00 goal per away match. The return of Ken Sema and Victor Lindelof boosts their structure, while the absence of Alexander Isak opens the door for Viktor Gyokeres to lead the line. However, Sweden’s recent run—one win in six—highlights their struggles, particularly in defence, where they concede 1.80 goals per away match.
Given Ukraine's better stats and Alexander Isak's injury blow for Sweden, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS (Ukraine BTTS 60%, Sweden BTTS 50%), and Ukraine Over 1.5.
This World Cup 2026 match will be played on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Ukraine vs Sweden prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ukraine 2 - 1 Sweden
Ukraine vs Sweden Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Ukraine vs Sweden?
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View OfferUkraine Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwldwwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wlww | 2.25 |
| Away | llwdwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 2.75 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.57 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.21 | 1.50 |
Sweden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwdlllld | 1.10 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.52 | 1.36 |
Ukraine vs Sweden Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ukraine (100%)
1 Matches
Sweden (0%)
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