Weekly Bundesliga Betting Tips
Below you’ll find our weekly Bundesliga betting tips across the key football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 1.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result. These tips for football provide consistent value in Germany’s top flight thanks to the league’s attacking style, high goal averages, and strong home advantage, making them popular with both casual and experienced bettors.
Bundesliga Betting Tips
Bundesliga Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 season
Outright betting in the Bundesliga focuses on long-term outcomes across the entire campaign rather than individual matches. These wagers cover markets such as Winner, Top Four Finish, European Qualification, and Relegation. Odds for these markets are set before the Bundesliga season begins but continue to adjust throughout the campaign based on factors like form, transfers, and injuries. Because outright bets for the Bundesliga remain active for months, success depends on thorough research, timing, and managing your bankroll wisely. The most common outright markets in the Bundesliga include league winner, top four finish, relegation, Golden Boot, and leading assist provider.
Our expert predictions for the 2025/26 Bundesliga season are outlined below.
Who is most likely to win the Bundesliga this season?
Bayern Munich (1/10, 90.9%). Bayern Munich are the overwhelming favourites to win the 2025/26 Bundesliga. After finishing 13 points clear last season with Harry Kane top scoring on 26 goals. Borussia Dortmund (22/1, 4.3%) are another strong contender to win the Bundesliga after a strong finish under Niko Kovač and smart additions including Jobe Bellingham. Bayer Leverkusen (22/1, 4.3%) share the same odds but face a rebuild, with Victor Boniface now central to their hopes to win the Bundesliga.
More detail on the 3 contenders most likely to win the Bundesliga this season is given below.
- Bayern Munich (1/10, 90.9%). Bayern Munich are the clear favourites to retain their Bundesliga crown. Last season they stormed to their record 33rd title with two games to spare, spearheaded by Harry Kane’s 26 league goals and a commanding home record. The summer transfer window brought major reinforcements – Luis Díaz arrived from Liverpool for around €75m, providing an elite winger to supply Kane and Jamal Musiala, while Jonathan Tah joined on a free from Bayer Leverkusen to strengthen the back line. Kompany now has two natural wide outlets in Díaz and Michael Olise, complementing the team’s spine of Neuer, Kimmich, and Goretzka. Importantly, Bayern suffered no major departures beyond Leroy Sané, ensuring stability around their winning core. With depth improved in both attack and defence, and Kane hungry to add more silverware, Bayern look well equipped to win the Bundesliga in the 2025/26 season.
- Borussia Dortmund (22/1, 4.3%). Borussia Dortmund enter the season as distant second-favourites but with reason for optimism. Niko Kovač steadied the team after arriving mid-season, delivering 22 points from the last eight league games and a Champions League quarter-final victory over Barcelona. Borussia Dortmund’s squad has benefited from a quiet summer in terms of departures, with only Jamie Gittens leaving. Meanwhile, the arrivals of Jobe Bellingham, Daniel Svensson, and Yan Couto inject creativity and depth. Guirassy remains a proven goal threat up front, supported by Julian Brandt. Dortmund’s upward form to close 2024/25, combined with a more stable squad and Kovač’s tactical reset, make them Bayern’s credible challengers to win the Bundesliga, albeit at long odds.
- Bayer Leverkusen (22/1, 4.3%). Bayer Leverkusen are level with Dortmund in the betting markets but face a challenging season if they are to win the Bundesliga. Erik ten Hag takes charge after the departure of Xabi Alonso, tasked with reshaping a squad that lost Florian Wirtz and Jeremie Frimpong to Liverpool. The rebuild has centred on reliable additions rather than star names, with Netherlands goalkeeper Mark Flekken signed from Brentford and England U21 defender Jarell Quansah arriving from Liverpool. Victor Boniface is expected to carry the attack as the primary source of goals, while ten Hag’s structured tactical approach could help the team stay competitive. Yet without the creativity once provided by Wirtz, Leverkusen’s path to winning the Bundesliga in 2025/26 will depend on how quickly their new setup gels.
Other contenders likely to challenge in the Bundesliga include Eintracht Frankfurt at 70/1 (1.4%), fresh off a third-place finish in 2024/25 that secured their Champions League return. Dino Toppmöller’s side have reloaded smartly after key departures, with Jonathan Burkardt arriving from Mainz and Ritsu Dōan from Freiburg to boost pace and end product in attack. Frankfurt remain well behind Bayern, Dortmund, and Leverkusen in the betting, but their strong domestic form and refreshed squad keep them firmly in the conversation as outsiders for the Bundesliga this season.
Who is most likely to finish top 4 in the Bundesliga?
The top contenders most likely to finish top 4 through the Bundesliga in 2025/26 are Bayern Munich (1/500, 99.8%), Borussia Dortmund (1/4, 80%), RB Leipzig (2/7, 77.8%), and Bayer Leverkusen (11/8, 42.1%), based on bookmaker odds. In our analysis, these four sides combine domestic pedigree, strong recruitment, and elite players capable of finishing in the Bundesliga’s Top 4.
More detail on the 4 teams most likely to finish in the Bundesliga top 4 this season follows below.
- Bayern Munich (1/500, 99.8%). Bayern Munich are overwhelming favourites to take another Top 4 Champions League spot via the Bundesliga. Having reclaimed their domestic crown in 2024/25 with 82 points and 99 goals, Bayern entered the new season as Rekordmeister (record holders), strengthened by the £65.5m signing of Luis Díaz from Liverpool. Díaz joins a frontline already featuring the likes of Harry Kane, who scored 26 goals last term and remains hungry for more trophies. Bayern’s squad balance has been reinforced by Jonathan Tah’s arrival in defence, while Vincent Kompany’s debut season in charge brought stability and renewed authority. Despite Jamal Musiala’s injury and Leroy Sané’s departure, their depth remains unmatched. With 12 league titles in the last 13 years, Bayern Munich look a near certainty to finish inside the Bundesliga’s top 4.
- Borussia Dortmund (1/4, 80%). Borussia Dortmund are another strong candidate for the Bundesliga Top 4. Under Niko Kovač, the Black-and-Yellows transformed their form late last season, collecting 22 of 24 possible points in the run-in and showing strong momentum. Key striker Serhou Guirassy, who scored 21 goals last season, is expected to shine in his second year at the club, and he is supported by a new wave of young signings including Jobe Bellingham, Yan Couto, Carney Chukwuemeka, and Daniel Svensson. The thrilling atmosphere at Signal-Iduna-Park and the continuity of Kovač’s tactical reset give Dortmund consistency they had often lacked. With bookmakers rating them comfortably inside the top four, Dortmund are well placed to finish among the Bundesliga’s Champions League qualifiers.
- RB Leipzig (2/7, 77.8%). RB Leipzig are a prime contender for a Bundesliga top 4 place this year. Xavi Simons and a newly built Red Bull Arena was a major boost, providing creativity and flair in midfield. Leipzig’s defence has been solidified with experienced options, while their attack has been refreshed by the arrival of Johan Bakayoko from PSV Eindhoven. Up front, Loïs Openda continues to be a decisive figure after hitting 24 Bundesliga goals across all competitions last season. Leipzig benefit from not having European competition this year, which reduces fixture congestion and allows them to focus squarely on the league. Though bookmakers place them just below Dortmund and Leverkusen in the odds, Leipzig’s combination of attacking depth, defensive stability, and a lighter schedule makes them a strong candidate to reach the Bundesliga’s top 4.
- Bayer Leverkusen (11/8, 42.1%). Leverkusen remain a serious candidate for a Bundesliga top 4 finish despite undergoing significant changes. After losing Florian Wirtz, Jeremie Frimpong, and goalkeeper Lukáš Hrádecký, Bayer Leverkusen is in transition under new manager Erik Ten Hag. Reinforcements have arrived in the form of Malik Tillman, Jarell Quansah, Loïc Badé, Ibrahim Maza, Ernest Poku, and Mark Flekken, while Victor Boniface continues as the focal point in attack. The BayArena’s lively atmosphere and fans’ belief in Ten Hag’s project provide additional momentum. Though bookmakers see them as less stable than in previous seasons, Leverkusen’s deep squad and pacey wingers still give them every chance to secure a Champions League spot, ensuring another top 4 Bundesliga finish is within reach.
Other contenders for a Bundesliga top 4 finish include Eintracht Frankfurt at 7/4 (36.4%) and VfB Stuttgart at 9/2 (18.2%). Frankfurt strengthened after losing Hugo Ekitike by signing Jonathan Burkardt and Ritsu Dōan, giving Dino Toppmöller’s side fresh firepower to complement an already consistent squad that finished third last season. Meanwhile, Stuttgart arrive off the back of a DFB-Pokal triumph and a Europa League qualification under Sebastian Hoeneß. With momentum from their domestic success, Stuttgart remains a credible challenger to break into the Bundesliga’s Champions League places.
Who is most likely to get relegated from the Bundesliga this season?
Heidenheim (8/15, 65.2%) are the bookmakers’ favourites to be relegated from the Bundesliga in 2025/26, and we share this view. After only surviving last season via a narrow playoff win, they now enter the campaign with limited quality and little reinforcement in the transfer market. Hamburg (5/2, 28.6%) are the next most likely to go down after promotion, with bookmakers reflecting the usual struggles of newly promoted clubs in the top flight. Borussia Mönchengladbach (3/1, 25%) follow as another strong candidate to get relegated from the Bundesliga due to their defensive instability. Meanwhile, Mainz (4/1, 20%) are overlooked in the betting markets, but the loss of Jonathan Burkardt and persistent away struggles make them one of the leading relegation contenders despite the longer odds.
More detail on the 4 most likely relegation candidates in the Bundesliga follows below.
- Heidenheim (8/15, 65.2%). Heidenheim are our main candidate for relegation from the Bundesliga this season after scraping through a playoff against 2. Bundesliga side Elversberg, which they edged 4–3 on aggregate. Heidenheim’s squad has not been significantly upgraded, with both Frans Kratzig and Paul Wanner returning to Bayern Munich after their loan spells. A lack of top-class players and inactivity in the summer window raise serious doubts about their ability to compete across 34 matches. Given their thin squad and modest budget, Heidenheim are widely seen as the prime relegation candidates from the Bundesliga.
- Hamburg (5/2, 28.6%). Hamburg earned promotion last season but face a steep climb to avoid relegation from the Bundesliga. Newly promoted teams often struggle with the gap in quality, and Hamburg’s squad lacks the depth and Bundesliga experience needed to consistently compete. While their large fanbase and Volksparkstadion atmosphere offer support, their defensive record in 2. Bundesliga raised concerns, and stronger top-tier opposition could expose those weaknesses. Unless reinforcements arrive soon, Hamburg risk an immediate return to the 2. Bundesliga.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach (3/1, 25%). Gladbach round out the top bookmaker-backed relegation candidates from the Bundesliga, with odds reflecting their defensive instability and uneven performances in recent seasons. While they retain attacking threats capable of troubling stronger teams, lapses at the back and lack of squad depth often leave them exposed against direct rivals in the lower half of the table. Unless they tighten their defensive structure and find greater consistency, Gladbach risk being dragged into the Bundesliga relegation battle.
- Mainz (4/1, 20%). Mainz are priced longer than Hamburg and Gladbach in the relegation markets, but those odds somewhat understate their risk. The club lost top scorer Jonathan Burkardt to Eintracht Frankfurt and brought in Benedict Hollerbach, whose injury record raises doubts about his reliability. In addition, Mainz struggle badly away from home, where they dropped crucial points even in their strong 2024/25 campaign. Without a dependable forward line and with recurring issues on the road, Mainz look far more vulnerable to relegation from the Bundesliga than the bookmakers’ prices suggest.
Who is most likely to finish as Top Scorer in the Bundesliga this season?
Harry Kane is the clear favourite to finish as the Bundesliga’s top scorer in 2025/26, priced at 1/2 (66.7%) by major bookmakers. The England captain hit 26 goals last season, topping the charts for a second straight year, and benefits this campaign from the arrival of Luis Díaz to provide even more attacking supply. Kane’s main challenger for the Golden Boot is Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy at 11/4 (26.7%), who scored 21 goals in 2024/25 and looks set for another prolific season under Niko Kovač’s attack-minded system.
More information about the 2 leading candidates to finish as Top Scorer in the Bundesliga this season is given below.
- Harry Kane (1/2, 66.7%). Kane begins the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign as the bookmakers’ overwhelming favourite to retain the Torjägerkanone (top scorer award). Kane’s 26 goals last season spearheaded Bayern’s title charge, and he now benefits from elite service provided by new signing Luis Díaz alongside Michael Olise and the returning Jamal Musiala later in the season. Kane’s consistency is unmatched – he has produced back-to-back Golden Boot campaigns since moving from Tottenham, and his xG numbers remain the highest in the league. Bayern’s dominance in possession and their attacking depth ensure Kane receives a steady stream of chances inside the box. Hungry for both individual awards and team trophies, Kane is firmly positioned as the leading candidate to finish as the Bundesliga’s Top Scorer once again.
- Serhou Guirassy (11/4, 26.7%). Guirassy is the standout alternative to Kane in the race for the Bundesliga Golden Boot. After arriving from Stuttgart, the Guinean striker scored 21 goals for Borussia Dortmund last season, thriving as the focal point in Niko Kovač’s resurgent side. Guirassy’s aerial strength, clinical finishing, and ability to link with playmakers like Julian Brandt and new arrival Jobe Bellingham give Dortmund a reliable scoring outlet. With Dortmund ending the 2024/25 season in blistering form and entering the new campaign with renewed confidence, Guirassy looks well placed to push Kane closest in the Bundesliga Top Scorer standings.
Other possible contenders for the Bundesliga Golden Boot in 2025/26 include Luis Díaz at 15/1 (6.3%), who is expected to chip in significantly from the wing after his high-profile move from Liverpool, and Bayern teammate Michael Olise at 15/1 (6.3%), who added 12 goals and 18 assists last season and could boost his scoring numbers further in Musiala’s absence.
Who is most likely to finish as top scorer in the Bundesliga this season?
Harry Kane is the clear favourite to finish as the Bundesliga’s top scorer in 2025/26, priced at 1/2 (66.7%) by major bookmakers. The England captain hit 26 goals last season, topping the charts for a second straight year, and benefits this campaign from the arrival of Luis Díaz to provide even more attacking supply. Kane’s main challenger for the Golden Boot is Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy at 11/4 (26.7%), who scored 21 goals in 2024/25 and looks set for another prolific season under Niko Kovač’s attack-minded system.
More information about the 2 leading candidates to finish as Top Scorer in the Bundesliga this season is given below.
- Harry Kane (1/2, 66.7%). Kane begins the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign as the bookmakers’ overwhelming favourite to retain the Torjägerkanone (top scorer award). Kane’s 26 goals last season spearheaded Bayern’s title charge, and he now benefits from elite service provided by new signing Luis Díaz alongside Michael Olise and the returning Jamal Musiala later in the season. Kane’s consistency is unmatched – he has produced back-to-back Golden Boot campaigns since moving from Tottenham, and his xG numbers remain the highest in the league. Bayern’s dominance in possession and their attacking depth ensure Kane receives a steady stream of chances inside the box. Hungry for both individual awards and team trophies, Kane is firmly positioned as the leading candidate to finish as the Bundesliga’s Top Scorer once again.
- Serhou Guirassy (11/4, 26.7%). Guirassy is the standout alternative to Kane in the race for the Bundesliga Golden Boot. After arriving from Stuttgart, the Guinean striker scored 21 goals for Borussia Dortmund last season, thriving as the focal point in Niko Kovač’s resurgent side. Guirassy’s aerial strength, clinical finishing, and ability to link with playmakers like Julian Brandt and new arrival Jobe Bellingham give Dortmund a reliable scoring outlet. With Dortmund ending the 2024/25 season in blistering form and entering the new campaign with renewed confidence, Guirassy looks well placed to push Kane closest in the Bundesliga Top Scorer standings.
Other possible contenders for the Bundesliga Golden Boot in 2025/26 include Luis Díaz at 15/1 (6.3%), who is expected to chip in significantly from the wing after his high-profile move from Liverpool, and Bayern teammate Michael Olise at 15/1 (6.3%), who added 12 goals and 18 assists last season and could boost his scoring numbers further in Musiala’s absence.
Who is most likely to deliver the most assists in the Bundesliga this season?
Bayern Munich winger Michael Olise is the leading candidate to top the Bundesliga assist charts in 2025/26. Olise produced 15 assists in his debut campaign, instantly establishing himself as one of the league’s most creative players. Olise’s passing range, vision, and ability to operate between the lines make him central to Bayern’s chance creation, particularly with Harry Kane providing a reliable target in the penalty area. With Luis Díaz arriving to stretch defences on the opposite flank, Olise’s opportunities to create high-value chances are only expected to increase. His creative role under Vincent Kompany is secure, and his consistency last season underlines why bookmakers and analysts alike see him as the frontrunner for the Bundesliga assist crown.
Florian Wirtz, Olise’s main rival for the title of Bundesliga’s top creator, will not be in contention to deliver the most assists this year after moving to the Premier League. The Bayer Leverkusen playmaker topped the league in assists during the 2023/24 season and remained a benchmark for creative output in German football. His absence leaves a gap in the competition for the assist leader, further strengthening Olise’s case. With one of his closest rivals no longer in the league, Olise stands out even more as the Bundesliga’s most likely assist provider in 2025/26.
Bundesliga Betting Stats and Data
To provide the best possible Bundesliga betting tips, we track five years of historical data from Germany’s top flight. We use these long-term statistics to highlight recurring patterns across key football betting markets such as Match Result, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over/Under 2.5 Goals. By analysing scoring averages, home advantage, and other trends unique to the Bundesliga, we provide a solid foundation for weekly predictions throughout the season.
Bundesliga Stats (2025/2026)
| Team Type |
Average Goals Scored |
| Home Teams |
1.64 |
| Away Teams |
1.57 |
| Total (Combined) |
3.21 |
28.1 min/Goal
(231 Goals in 72 matches)
51% Clean Sheets
(37 times out of 72 matches)
53% Both Teams Scored
(38 times out of 72 matches)
| Outcome (Full-Time Result) |
% of Matches |
| Home Win |
43% |
| Draw |
18% |
| Away Win |
39% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Over |
| Over 0.5 |
96% |
| Over 1.5 |
81% |
| Over 2.5 |
63% |
| Over 3.5 |
40% |
| Over 4.5 |
21% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Under |
| Under 0.5 |
4% |
| Under 1.5 |
19% |
| Under 2.5 |
38% |
| Under 3.5 |
60% |
| Under 4.5 |
79% |
| Bundesliga Match Stats (2025/2026) |
| Shots Per Match |
26.79 |
| Shots / Match (Home) |
14.46 |
| Shots / Match (Away) |
12.33 |
| Fouls Per Match |
23.18 |
| Fouls / Match (Home) |
11.58 |
| Fouls / Match (Away) |
11.6 |
| Offsides Per Match |
3.64 |
| Players Participated |
469 |
Bundesliga Regular Season
|
Team |
MP |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
Last 5 |
| 1 |
Bayern München |
8 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
4 |
+26 |
24 |
WWWWW |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig |
8 |
6 |
1 |
1 |
16 |
9 |
+7 |
19 |
WWDWW |
| 3 |
Stuttgart |
8 |
6 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
7 |
+6 |
18 |
WWWWW |
| 4 |
Borussia Dortmund |
8 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
14 |
6 |
+8 |
17 |
WWDLW |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
8 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
18 |
11 |
+7 |
17 |
DWWWW |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
8 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
21 |
18 |
+3 |
13 |
LWLDW |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim |
8 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
15 |
13 |
+2 |
13 |
LDLWW |
| 8 |
Köln |
8 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
12 |
11 |
+1 |
11 |
LLWDL |
| 9 |
Werder Bremen |
8 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
12 |
16 |
-4 |
11 |
LLWDW |
| 10 |
Union Berlin |
8 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
11 |
15 |
-4 |
10 |
WDLWL |
| 11 |
Freiburg |
8 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
11 |
13 |
-2 |
9 |
WDDDL |
| 12 |
Hamburger SV |
8 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
-4 |
8 |
WDWLL |
| 13 |
Wolfsburg |
8 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
13 |
-4 |
8 |
LLLLW |
| 14 |
St. Pauli |
8 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
-6 |
7 |
LLLLL |
| 15 |
Augsburg |
8 |
2 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
20 |
-8 |
7 |
LLWDL |
| 16 |
Mainz 05 |
8 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
9 |
16 |
-7 |
4 |
WLLLL |
| 17 |
Heidenheim |
8 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
16 |
-9 |
4 |
LWLDL |
| 18 |
Borussia M'gladbach |
8 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
18 |
-12 |
3 |
DLDLL |
Bundesliga Results
| Date |
Match |
| 24/10/2025, 18:30 |
Werder Bremen |
1 - 0 |
Union Berlin |
| 25/10/2025, 13:30 |
Hamburger SV |
0 - 1 |
Wolfsburg |
| 25/10/2025, 13:30 |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 - 0 |
St. Pauli |
| 25/10/2025, 13:30 |
Augsburg |
0 - 6 |
RB Leipzig |
| 25/10/2025, 13:30 |
Borussia M'gladbach |
0 - 3 |
Bayern München |
| 25/10/2025, 13:30 |
Hoffenheim |
3 - 1 |
Heidenheim |
| 25/10/2025, 16:30 |
Borussia Dortmund |
1 - 0 |
Köln |
| 26/10/2025, 14:30 |
Bayer Leverkusen |
2 - 0 |
Freiburg |
| 26/10/2025, 16:30 |
Stuttgart |
2 - 1 |
Mainz 05 |
Bundesliga Fixtures
| Date |
Match |
| 31/10/2025, 19:30 |
Augsburg |
- |
Borussia Dortmund |
| 01/11/2025, 14:30 |
Heidenheim |
- |
Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 01/11/2025, 14:30 |
Union Berlin |
- |
Freiburg |
| 01/11/2025, 14:30 |
St. Pauli |
- |
Borussia M'gladbach |
| 01/11/2025, 14:30 |
Mainz 05 |
- |
Werder Bremen |
| 01/11/2025, 14:30 |
RB Leipzig |
- |
Stuttgart |
| 01/11/2025, 17:30 |
Bayern München |
- |
Bayer Leverkusen |
| 02/11/2025, 14:30 |
Köln |
- |
Hamburger SV |
| 02/11/2025, 16:30 |
Wolfsburg |
- |
Hoffenheim |
What are Bundesliga Predictions?
Bundesliga predictions are expert evaluations of the most likely outcomes in Germany’s premier football division. These football predictions extend across a wide range of betting markets, from single-match options such as winners, BTTS, and total goals, to season-long wagers on who will win the Meisterschale (the official trophy awarded to the Bundesliga champions at the end of each season), face relegation, or finish as top scorer or top assist provider. Rather than relying on guesswork, Bundesliga forecasts combine statistical models, tactical analysis, and the latest team news to provide research-driven insights that help bettors make more informed decisions throughout the Bundesliga season.
Fans, bettors, and analysts use Bundesliga predictions to make sense of one of Europe’s most dynamic leagues. With 18 clubs playing 34 matches each, the Bundesliga demands a detailed approach that considers form streaks, coaching styles, injury updates, and historical head-to-head results. At FootballPredictions.com, our experts combine recent performance data with long-term league trends to deliver insights tailored to the fast-paced and high-scoring nature of the Bundesliga.
How are Bundesliga Predictions determined?
Our analysts produce the most reliable Bundesliga predictions on the market through a six-step process that combines statistical analysis, tactical assessment, and betting market review, tailored to the unique character of Germany’s top division.
The six steps behind our Bundesliga forecasts are:
- Setting the fixture context
- Assessing form and underlying data
- Weighing squad availability
- Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries
- Checking data against match footage
- Comparing analysis with betting markets
- Setting the fixture context. The process of shaping accurate Bundesliga predictions begins by placing every game in its full context. Analysts record the basics, including stadium, kick-off time, and travel demands, while weighing the wider stakes. A relegation clash like Mainz hosting Stuttgart in April carries different dynamics than Bayern Munich welcoming Augsburg in August. With 34 rounds compressed into a calendar overlapping with DFB-Pokal and European commitments, the setting is critical. For example, RB Leipzig returning from a Champions League trip to Madrid before visiting Union Berlin at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei face a unique physical and psychological test. Factoring in these circumstances keeps Bundesliga predictions grounded in real-world conditions.
- Assessing form and underlying data. Once the setting is established, the next stage is measuring momentum through advanced metrics. Bundesliga matches average more than 3 goals per game, one of the highest rates in Europe, so expected goals (xG), shot quality, and transition metrics are crucial. Bayern Munich’s 99-goal haul in 2024/25 aligned with underlying metrics, which showed they regularly generated over 2.5 xG per match, evidence of sustainable dominance. By contrast, Mainz collected several wins despite consistently lower xG than their opponents, a sign of overachievement that tends to fade. Identifying whether results stem from luck or repeatable processes is central to dependable Bundesliga forecasts.
- Weighing squad availability. Another essential step when it comes to shaping Bundesliga predictions is linking squad news directly to tactical impact. A single absence or arrival often changes a team’s entire approach. For example, Bayern without Harry Kane lose their penalty-box presence, while Borussia Dortmund without Gregor Kobel struggle to maintain defensive security. Conversely, Eintracht Frankfurt’s signing of Jonathan Burkardt from Mainz improved pressing efficiency and boosted xG through his off-ball movement. By monitoring injuries, suspensions, and transfers across the season, Bundesliga forecasts reflect how personnel shifts alter balance in attack, defence, and set pieces.
- Factoring in home/away trends and rivalries. After evaluating form and squad news, the next step of forming Bundesliga predictions is accounting for home advantage and derby intensity. For instance Signal Iduna Park, with its 81,000 capacity and the iconic Yellow Wall, provides Dortmund with one of Europe’s fiercest home edges. At the other end, Heidenheim’s 15,000-seat Voith-Arena may be modest in scale but proved vital in their survival campaign. Der Klassiker between Bayern and Dortmund or the Hamburg Derby between HSV and St. Pauli regularly defy form tables, producing results driven by rivalry rather than logic. Recognising these elements ensures Bundesliga forecasts reflect the competition’s distinctive rhythm.
- Checking data against match footage. Bundesliga predictions remain incomplete without the important step of validation through match footage. Video analysis reveals whether statistical trends come from structural issues or isolated mistakes. As an example, Leipzig’s loss to Leverkusen last season, where they produced just 0.89 xG against 2.75, became clearer on review: defensive lapses in transition proved decisive rather than midfield weakness. Mainz’s win over Stuttgart was explained by compact defensive organisation and ruthless finishing, not unsustainable luck. Cross-checking stats with footage ensures Bundesliga forecasts combine data with tactical reality.
- Comparing analysis with betting markets. The final step in refining Bundesliga predictions involves comparing insights with bookmaker odds. Bundesliga betting markets often overreact to short streaks, particularly given the league’s high-scoring nature. Freiburg’s four-game unbeaten run shortened their odds despite xG data showing consistent underperformance. Savvy bettors instead identify value in clubs like Dortmund, by converting odds into implied probabilities and aligning them with internal models. By matching insights against bookmaker markets such as 1X2, BTTS, or Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Bundesliga forecasts highlight value opportunities and translate analysis into actionable betting tips.
When are Bundesliga Predictions released?
Bundesliga predictions for the weekend fixtures are published every Monday at 1:00 PM London Time, while midweek tips are released the day after the last round of matches has been completed, again at 13:00 London Time. This fixed schedule ensures previews and betting advice for the Bundesliga are available well ahead of kick-off, giving readers sufficient time to review data, odds, and market trends.
Our goal is to provide accurate and reliable Bundesliga betting predictions, supported by thorough research and careful verification. By blending statistical insight with tactical analysis, we aim to equip readers with knowledge that goes beyond simply following the German league, bringing up to date football predictions to help them make informed and successful betting decisions.
What are the most appealing betting markets?
The most appealing betting markets for the Bundesliga are Match Result, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over 2.5 Goals. These markets combine strong statistical foundations with the open, attacking nature of German football, which produces high-scoring encounters and regular surprises. Bettors are drawn to them because five-year Bundesliga data offers consistent patterns, while the league’s reputation for goals and attacking play ensures plenty of action.
More detail on the 3 most appealing betting markets for the Bundesliga based on five-year league data is given below.
- Match Result (Home Win, Draw, Away Win). The Match Result market, or 1X2, remains the core of Bundesliga betting. Match Result betting involves predicting whether a match will end in a home win, draw, or away win. Over the last five seasons, Bundesliga fixtures have shown home wins in 39–47% of games, draws in 24–26%, and away wins in 28–36%. This highlights both a home-field advantage (seen at intimidating venues such as Signal Iduna Park and the Allianz Arena) and the danger of underrating away sides in a league where pressing and transition play travel well. The balance between home dominance and the league’s high share of away wins makes the 1X2 market a natural starting point for Bundesliga bets.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS). BTTS is one of the most popular Bundesliga markets and consistently appeals to bettors thanks to the attacking philosophy across the league. Across the last five years, BTTS has landed in 57–62% of matches, including 62% of fixtures in 2023/24. Matches involving clubs like Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, and Eintracht Frankfurt often feature end-to-end play, with even relegation candidates regularly finding the net. The frequency of high-scoring contests makes BTTS a reliable option, with bettors often able to identify streaks, especially among Bundesliga teams that combine prolific forwards with inconsistent defences.
- Over 2.5 Goals. Over/Under goals markets are another Bundesliga staple, with Over 2.5 a particularly appealing line. The Over 2.5 Goals market requires at least three goals in a match, and Bundesliga games have averaged 3.03–3.22 goals per season across the past five years. Over 2.5 has landed in 58–62% of fixtures in four of the last five campaigns, including 60% in 2024/25. German football’s emphasis on aggressive pressing, attacking full-backs, and open tactical battles contributes to this high rate of overs. From Bayern’s 99-goal campaign in 2024/25 to Freiburg and Stuttgart’s high-scoring Europa League pushes, the Bundesliga consistently delivers attacking spectacle, making Over 2.5 Goals one of the league’s most dependable and attractive betting markets.
The table below summarises the key Bundesliga outcomes from the past five seasons across the three main betting markets.
| Season |
Match Result (Home Wins) |
Match Result (Draws) |
Match Result (Away Wins) |
BTTS (Yes) |
Over 2.5 Goals |
Avg. Goals / Match |
| 2020–21 |
42% |
26% |
31% |
60% |
59% |
3.03 |
| 2021–22 |
47% |
24% |
29% |
61% |
58% |
3.12 |
| 2022–23 |
47% |
25% |
28% |
59% |
60% |
3.17 |
| 2023–24 |
44% |
26% |
30% |
62% |
62% |
3.22 |
| 2024–25 |
39% |
25% |
36% |
57% |
60% |
3.13 |
Bundesliga Season Guide
The 2024/25 Bundesliga is the 62nd edition of Germany’s premier league. Eighteen clubs contest a double round-robin (34 matchdays) from late August to mid-May, with a winter break around the turn of the year and promotion/relegation play-offs after the league concludes.
Bayern Munich entered as defending champions, and the season again serves as a gateway to UEFA competitions: the top four qualify for the next Champions League, followed by Europa League and Conference League slots that also interact with the DFB-Pokal winner.
The guide below explains the Bundesliga format, the key dates on the calendar, and how the fixture list is put together each year.
What Is the Format of the Bundesliga 2025/26 Season?
This 2025/26 season, the Bundesliga follows its traditional league format, with 18 teams playing 34 matches each (17 home, 17 away) under the standard three-points-for-a-win system. Final standings determine European places and relegation. The bottom two clubs (17th and 18th) are relegated automatically to 2. Bundesliga. The club finishing 16th enters the promotion/relegation play-off, a two-leg tie against the 3rd-placed team from 2. Bundesliga; the aggregate winner plays in the top flight the following season.
European qualification is unchanged for the Bundesliga campaign, with 1st–4th entering the following season’s Champions League. Europa League and Conference League berths are allocated via league position and the DFB-Pokal outcome, with spots cascading to the next-best league finishers if the cup winner has already qualified for the Champions League. This structure ensures that every Bundesliga campaign delivers high stakes across the table, from the title race at the top to the relegation battle at the bottom.
What are the Start & End Dates for Bundesliga 2025/26?
The 2025/26 Bundesliga season runs from 22 August 2025 to 16 May 2026, spanning 34 matchdays across nine months. The German Supercup, which opens the domestic campaign, is scheduled for 16 August 2025, just days before the first Bundesliga fixtures. The last round of league games will be played on 16 May 2026, with relegation play-offs staged the following week.
The Bundesliga calendar is set by the DFL (Deutsche Fußball Liga), which coordinates the German league alongside FIFA and UEFA international windows as well as the domestic DFB-Pokal. After Matchday 15 (19–21 December 2025), the league pauses for its traditional winter break before resuming on 9 January 2026 with Matchday 16. The Bundesliga season concludes with Matchday 34 in mid-May, followed by the two-leg relegation play-off from 21 to 26 May. This structure ensures that Bundesliga fixtures remain carefully aligned with the wider German and European football calendar.
How are Bundesliga Fixtures built up?
The Bundesliga fixture list for 2025/26 is created by the DFL (Deutsche Fußball Liga) using specialised scheduling software that balances a wide range of criteria. These include home and away distribution, stadium availability, international breaks, policing and municipal requirements, derby spacing, travel logistics, and TV broadcast needs. The full list of pairings for the season was released on 27 June 2025, ensuring that all 18 clubs received a fair and transparent starting point for the new campaign.
Once the Bundesliga framework is set, the DFL continues to adjust kick-off dates and match sequencing in waves throughout the season. These updates account for clubs’ European commitments, progress in the DFB-Pokal (Germany’s domestic cup competition that runs in parallel to the league), and operational factors such as local security or stadium usage. While the old “English key” method (a manual pairing system that used numbered grids to generate fixtures) has been replaced, the league’s internal scheduling algorithms maintain fairness by avoiding long runs of consecutive home or away fixtures and by minimising excessive travel demands. This process ensures that the 34-match Bundesliga season integrates smoothly into the wider German and European football calendar.
Which are the Best Bookmakers for Bundesliga Betting?
The best bookmakers for Bundesliga betting combine sharp odds, deep market coverage unique to German football, and promotions tailored to the Bundesliga, while offering strong live-bet features and great mobile usability. Based on these criteria, our top picks for Bundesliga betting sites are 1xBet, 22Bet, bet365, and Unibet.
More information about the 4 best bookmakers for Bundesliga betting is given below.
- 1xBet. 1xBet stands out for Bundesliga betting thanks to extensive outright markets including title odds, Champions League qualification, relegation, and Golden Boot predictions. The platform offers very competitive odds on Match Result, Over/Under, and Both Teams to Score (BTTS) markets. Generous welcome bonuses, frequent odds boosts on Bundesliga fixtures, and a strong mobile app make 1xBet a solid choice for those who follow German football closely.
- 22Bet. 22Bet is another bookmaker that delivers excellent value to Bundesliga bettors. The platform offers a wide range of markets for each match, including goals, corners, first-goalscorer and handicaps, plus reliable live betting. The promotions offered by 22Bet are well designed to match the Bundesliga’s rhythm, and special offers often activate around big matchdays or derby weeks. High user ratings and frequent free bets for loyal customers give 22Bet an edge in market depth and user engagement when it comes to Bundesliga bets.
- bet365. bet365 remains one of the most trusted names for Bundesliga betting. Known for strong in-play features, bet365 streams many Bundesliga matches, offering bettors an opportunity to react to match developments in real time. Features like Bet Builder, partial cash-out, and robust stats live dashboards are particularly useful in a league known for late goals and turnovers. Their odds on key players’ performance metrics (e.g. shots on target, assists) often outperform many competitors.
- Unibet. Unibet is ideal for bettors looking for niche and specialised markets within the Bundesliga. From standard markets (Match Result, BTTS, Total Goals) to less common bet types like player shots, disciplinary stats, or first goal times, Unibet’s offerings are broad. Their user interface is clean, app performance is reliable, and promotions tend to cover both marquee fixtures and less high-profile midweek games. For punters who enjoy flexibility and prefer to vary the favourites within Bundesliga bets, Unibet’s wide betting range is a go-to option.
Related Leagues We Cover
Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues including the ones below.
- Premier League Predictions. Our coverage of England’s top division highlights key matches, title contenders, and performance trends.
- La Liga Predictions. Expert insight into Spain’s top clubs with analysis of tactical approaches, goals, and weekly form.
- Serie A Predictions. Detailed forecasts for Italy’s premier league following the main rivals in the race for European places.
- Ligue 1 Predictions. In-depth looks at France’s top flight exploring the balance between dominant clubs and rising challengers.
- Champions League Predictions. Comprehensive previews of Europe’s flagship tournament featuring the best teams from across the continent.
