Hamburg vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips | 05/10/2025

Hamburg vs Mainz Prediction and Betting Tips | 5 October 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

30 September 2025 • 14:23 UTC • 1 min read

Hamburg vs Mainz Prediction and Betting Tips 5 October 2025

Hamburger SV will be aiming to escape the danger zone when they take on Mainz in the Bundesliga round 6. Die Rothosen did well to hold Union Berlin to a goalless draw at the weekend and they are now eyeing their second home win of the season. Summer signing Omari Warmed picked up an injury against Union Berlin, with Guilherme Ramos likely to step up, while Fabio Vieira misses out through suspension.

Die Nullfunfer, on the other hand, failed to impress in a 2-0 loss to Borussia Dortmund, but beating HSV at Volksparkstadion is easier said than done. Taking everything into account, a close encounter is on the cards in Hamburg and we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on draw. Goalkeeper Robin Zentner is banned for the visiting team, while midfielder Dominik Kohr is back from suspension.

This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 5 October 2025 at 16:30.

What is our Hamburg vs Mainz prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 1 - 1 Mainz

Hamburg vs Mainz Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 150 Odds
To be booked: Dominik Kohr @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

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Hamburg Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dllwd	1.00
Home	lw	1.50
Away	dld	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	2.50	1.67
Scored	0.40	1.00	0.00
Conceded	1.60	1.50	1.67
BTTS	20%	50%	0%
Clean Sheets	40%	0%	67%
Failed to Score	80%	50%	100%
Expected Goals	1.30	1.51	1.16
Expected Goals Against	1.99	2.09	1.93

Mainz Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdlwl	1.40
Home	wll	1.00
Away	dw	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	3.00	2.67	3.50
Scored	1.80	1.33	2.50
Conceded	1.20	1.33	1.00
BTTS	60%	33%	100%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	67%	0%
Expected Goals	1.69	1.68	1.69
Expected Goals Against	1.28	1.14	1.49