Belgium are eager to recover from a narrow 1-0 loss to France, with the Red Devils defending well before Michael Olise’s late 88th-minute winner. Dodi Lukebakio is widely expected to replace suspended Milan winger Diego Moreira, while Nicolas Raskin could also return to the starting XI. Belgium managed only 0.69 xG against France, but their home numbers remain encouraging, with 1.80 goals scored per game across their last five matches.
Turkey, meanwhile, struggled badly at the back in a heavy 4-1 defeat to Italy. With both Kenan Yildiz and Hakan Calhanoglu remaining in the recovery room, Vincenzo Montella is expected to make changes, with Abdulkadir Bardakci, Ismail Yuksek and Kerem Akturkoglu all pushing for a starting berth. Turkey have conceded in seven of their last 10 matches, while their overall defensive record shows 1.30 goals allowed per game.
Given Belgium’s stronger home record and Turkey’s defensive issues, our main betting tip leans toward Home Win, alongside Belgium Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total.
This Nations League match will be played on Friday 2 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Belgium vs Turkey prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Belgium 2 - 1 Turkey
Belgium vs Turkey Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Charles De Ketelaere @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Charles De Ketelaere @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Baris Yilmaz @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Belgium -0.5 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Belgium +1 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Belgium to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Belgium to Win/Belgium to Win @ 120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Belgium - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferBelgium Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwddwwwlwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wddwl | 1.60 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.96 | 2.16 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.37 |
Turkey Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwllwll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwll | 1.50 |
| Away | dwwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.16 | 1.53 |
Belgium vs Turkey Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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