What is our Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction?
Estonia
1 - 0
Bulgaria
Our prediction for this match: Estonia 1 - 0 Bulgaria
Estonia vs Bulgaria Preview
Estonia will be looking to build on a hard-fought 1-0 win over Luxembourg when they welcome Bulgaria, with automatic promotion to Nations League B still within their reach. Jurgen Henn’s men are aiming to finish the campaign at the top of the standings, and the coach has no fresh injury concerns ahead of the decisive encounter. Estonia are likely to stick with the winning formula, having conceded just one goal across their last three home matches.
Bulgaria, meanwhile, have nothing to play for after suffering a heavy 5-0 defeat to Luxembourg in round 5. Changes to the starting XI are expected, with Petkov, Lazarov, and Chochev all pushing for starting berths. PAOK winger Kiril Despodov remains sidelined through injury. The visitors have shown some attacking quality on their travels, scoring an average of three goals per game across their last five away matches, but their defensive record remains a concern.
With Estonia having more at stake and enjoying home advantage, we predict the hosts to emerge triumphant in Monday's clash. Therefore, our predictions are Estonia to Win, Under 3.5 goals, and Estonia to keep a clean sheet, with the hosts conceding just 0.33 goals per game across their last three home outings.
This Nations League match will be played on Monday, 16 November 2026 at 17:00 in A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn, Estonia.
- League
- Nations League
- Kick-off
- Mon 16 Nov 2026, 17:00UK time
- Venue
- A. Le Coq ArenaTallinn • 14,405 seats
- Referee
- Nenad Minakovic
Estonia vs Bulgaria Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Estonia 1-0 Bulgaria | 9/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/3 | |
| Draw No Bet: Estonia | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Estonia / Estonia | 9/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Estonia 0 | 9/20 | |
| European Handicap: Estonia +1 | 1/4 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Karel Mustmaa | 12/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer | 11/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 6/4 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/20 | |
| Estonia Clean Sheet: Yes | 11/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferEstonia vs Bulgaria Line-ups
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. Hein | GK |
| 3 |  M. Paskotši | DF |
| 6 |  R. Peetson | DF |
| 19 |  M. Schjønning-Larsen | DF |
| 18 |  K. Mets | DF |
| 16 |  E. Tõugjas | DF |
| 10 |  K. Palumets | MF |
| 4 |  M. Käit | MF |
| 20 |  M. Poom | MF |
| 14 |  P. Kristal | FW |
| 7 |  M. Männilaan | FW |
| Coach J. Henn |
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  D. Naumov | GK |
| 13 |  S. Velkov | DF |
| 3 |  E. Tsenov | DF |
| 22 |  Y. Stoyanov | DF |
| 21 |  D. Velkovski | DF |
| 4 |  I. Gruev | MF |
| 11 |  G. Rusev | MF |
| 20 |  L. Petkov | MF |
| 8 |  A. Kraev | MF |
| 7 |  K. Balov | MF |
| 9 |  A. Iliev | FW |
| Coach A. Ribarski |
Estonia vs Bulgaria Standings
Estonia
Bulgaria
| 2nd | Position | 3rd |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2-3-0 | Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-1-3 |
| 3 : 1 | Goals for : against | 3 : 10 |
| +2 | Goal difference | -7 |
| WDWDD | Form | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Estonia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | LLLLW |
Estonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdlddwdw | 1.40 |
| Home | dwd | 1.67 |
| Away | lwdlddw | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.00 | 2.57 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.33 | 1.43 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
Bulgaria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwldldlwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wlldl | 0.80 |
| Away | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.42 | 1.24 |
Estonia vs Bulgaria Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estonia (0%)
1 Matches
Bulgaria (0%)
Estonia vs Bulgaria Past Results
Where to Watch Estonia vs Bulgaria
No TV broadcaster is listed for this match yet.
Listings can change before kick-off.
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