What is our Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction?
Iceland
2 - 0
Luxembourg
Our prediction for this match: Iceland 2 - 0 Luxembourg
Iceland vs Luxembourg Preview
Buoyed by a thrilling 5-0 win over Bulgaria, Iceland will look to secure automatic promotion to Nations League C when they face Luxembourg in the final group game. Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s men are aiming to finish top of Group 4 and have been particularly impressive defensively, conceding just one goal across their five group matches. Thordarson and Ingason are both doubtful after picking up knocks in the crushing of Bulgaria, but Iceland have enough quality to remain favourites, especially on home soil.
Luxembourg, meanwhile, are enduring a difficult campaign, having lost their last four Group 4 matches while struggling to make an impact in the final third. Their attacking problems are reflected in their recent statistics, with the visitors scoring just 0.8 goals per game across their last 10 outings and failing to find the net in 60% of those matches. Defender Tim Hall also picked up an injury in the 1-0 defeat to Estonia and is a doubt for this encounter.
As Iceland look well positioned to take advantage of Luxembourg’s poor form and secure another important victory, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Under 3.5 goals, and Iceland to Keep a clean sheet bets seem tempting, with the hosts conceding just one goal in the entire group campaign.
This Nations League match will be played on Monday, 16 November 2026 at 17:00 in Ice Rink Laugardalur, Reykjavik.
- League
- Nations League
- Kick-off
- Mon 16 Nov 2026, 17:00UK time
- Venue
- Ice Rink LaugardalurReykjavik
- Referee
- Marian Barbu
Iceland vs Luxembourg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Iceland 2-0 Luxembourg | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Iceland | 1/14 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Iceland / Iceland | 4/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Iceland -1.5 | 31/40 | |
| European Handicap: Iceland -1 | 4/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
 Anytime Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen |
20/21 | |
| First Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen |
7/2 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Iceland Clean Sheet: Yes | 4/6 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Iceland vs Luxembourg?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferIceland vs Luxembourg Line-ups
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 12 |  H. Valdimarsson | GK |
| 4 |  V. Pálsson | DF |
| 3 |  D. Grétarsson | DF |
| 16 |  S. Þórðarson | DF |
| 2 |  L. Tómasson | DF |
| 7 |  H. Haraldsson | MF |
| 8 |  Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | MF |
| 19 |  M. Ellertsson | MF |
| 10 |  G. Sigurðsson | MF |
| 9 |  O. Óskarsson | FW |
| 22 | A. Guðjohnsen | FW |
| Coach A. Gunnlaugsson |
| No. | Player | Pos. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  A. Moris | GK |
| 4 |  F. Bohnert | DF |
| 5 |  V. Selimović | DF |
| 13 |  Dirk Carlson | DF |
| 18 |  L. Jans | DF |
| 11 |  V. Thill | MF |
| 6 |  J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz | MF |
| 17 | H. Kadamani | MF |
| 19 |  M. Olesen | MF |
| 7 |  Aiman Dardari | FW |
| 9 |  Jayson Videira Pereira | FW |
| Coach J. Strasser |
Iceland vs Luxembourg Standings
Iceland
Luxembourg
| 1st | Position | 4th |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 3 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3-2-0 | Won-Drawn-Lost | 1-0-4 |
| 12 : 1 | Goals for : against | 2 : 8 |
| +11 | Goal difference | -6 |
| WDWWD | Form | LLLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Estonia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 | LLLLW |
Iceland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlldwwdw | 1.30 |
| Home | dw | 2.00 |
| Away | lddllwdw | 1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.38 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 38% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.83 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.05 | 1.50 |
Luxembourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwwllll | 1.20 |
| Home | wllll | 0.60 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.51 |
Iceland vs Luxembourg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Iceland (33%)
3 Matches
Luxembourg (33%)
Iceland vs Luxembourg Past Results
Where to Watch Iceland vs Luxembourg
No TV broadcaster is listed for this match yet.
Listings can change before kick-off.
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