Estonia aim to return to winning ways after back-to-back draws with Iceland and Bulgaria, with the hosts still searching for their first victory in the new Nations League campaign. Robi Saarma picked up a knock against Bulgaria, meaning experienced defender Frank Liivak could step up, while Estonia have struggled for consistency at home, winning none of their last three matches and scoring just 0.67 goals per game.
Luxembourg, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss to Iceland. Laurent Jans picked up a knock in that defeat, with Marvin Martins likely to step into the starting XI. The visitors have actually been more reliable away from home recently, winning 50% of their last six away games, although they have scored only 0.83 goals per game during that spell.
Luxembourg’s stronger recent away record makes Luxembourg to Win the best betting option, alongside Luxembourg to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals (both teams’ modest scoring numbers).
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Estonia vs Luxembourg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estonia 0 - 2 Luxembourg
Estonia vs Luxembourg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-2 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alex Matthias Tamm @ 260 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Luxembourg -0 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Luxembourg +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Luxembourg to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Luxembourg to Win/Luxembourg to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Luxembourg - Yes @ 150 Odds
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View OfferEstonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldlwdldd | 0.80 |
| Home | dld | 0.67 |
| Away | llwdldd | 0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.00 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.33 | 2.14 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.50 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 1.58 | 1.95 |
Luxembourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwwlwwl | 1.20 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | lllwww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 0.99 | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.51 | 1.77 |
Estonia vs Luxembourg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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