Finland aim to build on a 7-0 demolition of San Marino, with Palermo striker Joel Pohjanpalo stealing the headlines after scoring a hat-trick in the Nations League opener. Finland have won 67% of their last three home matches and averaged 2.00 goals per game in that spell, which definitely supports our betting angle. There are no fresh injury worries for the hosts.
Belarus, meanwhile, failed to impress in a 2-0 defeat to Albania, managing only eight attempts and 0.61 xG. Changes could be on the cards, with Gomanov and Kovalev among those pushing for a start after both came off the bench in Tirana. Belarus have won just 40% of their last five away matches, while their road record also shows a 1.40 goals-conceded average.
Finland’s dominant home numbers and Pohjanpalo’s form make Finland to Win the clear winner pick, while Finland Over 1.5 goals is also interesting with the hosts averaging 2.00 goals per home game.
This Nations League match will be played on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Finland vs Belarus prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Finland 2 - 0 Belarus
Finland vs Belarus Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Finland -0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Belarus +3 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Finland to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Finland to Win/Finland to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Finland - Yes @ -120 Odds
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View OfferFinland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwwdllw | 1.30 |
| Home | wlw | 2.00 |
| Away | llwdllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.67 | 3.71 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 0.60 | 1.52 |
Belarus Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllddwwwdl | 1.20 |
| Home | lldwd | 1.00 |
| Away | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.62 | 1.97 |
Finland vs Belarus Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Finland (100%)
1 Matches
Belarus (0%)





