France will be aiming to return to winning ways when they take on Belgium at Stade de France, following a 1-1 draw with Italy in their third Group 1 game. Les Bleus dominated proceedings but were punished by a cheap passing error, and they will now be eager to retain top spot. Kylian Mbappe remains in the recovery room, meaning Ousmane Dembele should continue leading the line, while Liverpool ace Bradley Barcola could sneak into the starting XI. Maxence Lacroix is expected to replace the suspended Dayot Upamecano. France have been particularly impressive in front of goal lately, averaging 2.17 goals across their last six home matches.
The Red Devils, meanwhile, recorded a convincing 3-0 victory over Turkey, with Kevin De Bruyne scoring a brace. However, the visitors face a tougher task here without both De Bruyne and Youri Tielemans, who are suspended. Diego Moreira returns from suspension and should provide an additional attacking option, but Belgium’s defensive numbers away from home are less convincing, with the Red Devils conceding an average of 1.00 goal per game on the road.
France’s superior H2H record (86% wins) and home advantage make France to Win our main betting tip, alongside BTTS (43% H2H) and France Over 1.5 goals (great attacking potential).
This Nations League match will be played on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our France vs Belgium prediction?
Our prediction for this match: France 2 - 1 Belgium
France vs Belgium Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Esteban Lepaul @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Esteban Lepaul @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Raskin @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Belgium +1.5 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Belgium +2 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: France to Win @ -450 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: France to Win/France to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: France - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferFrance Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwllwwd | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwlld | 1.67 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.08 | 2.19 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.00 |
Belgium Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwwwlwlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wddwlw | 1.83 |
| Away | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.05 | 2.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.54 |
France vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
France (86%)
7 Matches
Belgium (14%)
France vs Belgium Past Results
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