Germany aim to recover from a disappointing 1-0 loss to Greece, with Julian Nagelsmann’s side lacking cutting edge in attack in the absence of injured Kai Havertz. Jamal Musiala is also ruled out, but Liverpool ace Florian Wirtz returns to the starting XI and should provide an important creative spark. Germany have won 67% of their last six home matches, scoring an impressive 2.67 goals per game while conceding just 0.83.
Serbia, meanwhile, suffered back-to-back defeats to Greece and the Netherlands at the start of their Nations League campaign. The Eagles were beaten 2-1 by the Dutch despite allowing 25 goal attempts, highlighting their defensive problems, while Aleksandar Mitrovic, Dusan Vlahovic, and Nikola Milenkovic are all sorely missed through injury. Serbia have won just one of their last five away matches, losing the other four and conceding 2.80 goals per game.
Germany are a real force to be reckoned with at home and give Serbia’s defensive struggles, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Germany/Germany and Over 2.5 goals (Germany averaging 2.67 goals across their last six home matches).
This Nations League match will be played on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Germany vs Serbia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Germany 3 - 1 Serbia
Germany vs Serbia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Nick Woltemade @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Kosta Nedeljkovic @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Serbia +2.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Serbia +3 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Germany to Win @ -2500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Germany to Win/Germany to Win @ -175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Germany - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferGermany Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwlddl | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwwdl | 2.17 |
| Away | wwld | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.13 | 2.51 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 0.82 | 1.48 |
Serbia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwlwllll | 0.90 |
| Home | lwwll | 1.20 |
| Away | wllll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.85 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.51 |
Germany vs Serbia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Germany (0%)
2 Matches
Serbia (50%)
Germany vs Serbia Past Results
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