All eyes will be on Toumba Stadium when Greece take on Germany in a crucial Nations League A Group 2 encounter. Following back-to-back wins over Serbia and Germany, the hosts shared the spoils with the Netherlands in a thrilling 2-2 draw in round three. However, a home win should not be considered as star player Christos Tzolis suffered an injury against the Dutch, with Neom SC forward Georgios Masouras expected to replace him. Greece have struggled for consistency at home, winning just 25% of their last eight matches on home soil and averaging 1.25 goals per game.
Germany, meanwhile, recorded a routine 2-0 victory over Serbia, registering an impressive 32 goal attempts in the process. Die Mannschaft have been in confident mood, winning six of their last 10 matches and averaging 2.20 goals per game. Frankfurt striker Jonathan Burkardt is pushing for a start, while Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Kai Havertz and Nico Schlotterbeck remain in the recovery room. Germany's attacking numbers remain strong despite those absences, with the visitors averaging 2.67 goals per game across their last three away fixtures.
Germany’s superior attacking quality and Greece’s inconsistent home record make Germany to Win the main betting pick, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (both sides look sharp up front).
This Nations League match will be played on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Greece vs Germany prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Greece 1 - 2 Germany
Greece vs Germany Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jonathan Burkardt @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jonathan Burkardt @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Dimitrios Kourbelis @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Germany -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Greece +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Germany to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Germany to Win/Germany to Win @ 175 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Germany - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferGreece Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdlddlwwd | 1.30 |
| Home | wlld | 1.00 |
| Away | ldddww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.37 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.35 |
Germany Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwlddlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwwdlw | 2.29 |
| Away | wld | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.29 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.57 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.71 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 57% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.20 | 2.60 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.74 | 1.69 |
Greece vs Germany Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Greece (50%)
2 Matches
Germany (50%)
Greece vs Germany Past Results
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