Iceland will be aiming to build on a convincing 3-0 win over Luxembourg when they face Bulgaria in the Nations League round 3. Lazio ace Albert Gudmundsson remains in the recovery room, while Stefan Teitur Thordarson is doubtful after picking up a knock in the Luxembourg victory. In Gudmundsson’s absence, Real Sociedad striker Orri Oskarsson will be the man to watch. Iceland have been strong at home recently, winning 50% of their last four matches and conceding only 0.50 goals per game.
Bulgaria, meanwhile, are on a four-game winless run in all competitions after being held to a goalless draw by Estonia in round two. Chandarov, Balov and Panayotov remain in the recovery room, while captain Kiril Despodov is also injured, leaving the visitors short of attacking options. Bulgaria have conceded 2.00 goals per game across their last five away matches, despite winning 40% of those fixtures.
Considering Iceland’s stronger home numbers and Bulgaria’s shaky defence, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (Iceland's 3.00 goals average per game).
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Iceland vs Bulgaria prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Iceland 2 - 1 Bulgaria
Iceland vs Bulgaria Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Andri Gudjohnsen @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bulgaria +1.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Bulgaria +2 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -500 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Iceland to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Iceland to Win/Iceland to Win @ 110 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Iceland - No @ -138 Odds
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View OfferIceland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwwdllwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.65 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.51 |
Bulgaria Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwwwldld | 1.10 |
| Home | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Away | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.51 | 1.71 |
Iceland vs Bulgaria Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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