Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Stadio Olimpico when Italy and Belgium go head to head in the Nations League. Italy failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup finals but responded with consecutive 1-0 victories over Luxembourg and Greece in their latest warm-up games. New faces are also being introduced, with Daniele Ghilardi, Alessandro Romano, Michael Kayode, and Issa Doumbia among those receiving their first call-ups. Italy have won 80% of their last 10 matches, scoring 2.40 goals per game and keeping six clean sheets.
Belgium, on the other hand, produced fine displays at the World Cup finals, reaching the quarter-finals. New boss Mark van Bommel continues to rely on experienced stars such as Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, and Youri Tielemans. The Red Devils have scored 2.70 goals per game across their last 10 matches, while their away fixtures average an impressive 4.17 goals.
Italy have won four of the last six H2H meetings and boast an impressive 75% home win rate in their recent sample. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 1.5 goals (Five of the last six H2H meetings produced at least two goals, while both teams average well above two goals per game overall).
This Nations League match will be played on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Italy vs Belgium prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Italy 2 - 1 Belgium
Italy vs Belgium Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Raskin @ 225 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Italy 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Italy +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Italy to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Italy to Win/Italy to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Italy - No @ -334 Odds
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View OfferItaly Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwlwdww | 2.50 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wwwdww | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.17 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.39 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.99 | 1.24 |
Belgium Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwddwwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wddw | 2.00 |
| Away | wdwwwl | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.00 | 4.17 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.43 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.23 | 1.20 |
Italy vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Italy (67%)
6 Matches
Belgium (17%)
Italy vs Belgium Past Results
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