Sweden aim to build on a 2-1 win over Romania when Poland visit Strawberry Arena, with the hosts looking to retain top spot in Group 4. Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres were both on target against Romania, underlining the quality of an attacking partnership that could cause plenty of problems for the Polish defence. Tottenham midfielder Lucas Bergvall should keep his place in the starting XI as well. Sweden have won 60% of their last five home matches, scoring 2.60 goals per game in the process.
Poland, meanwhile, are on a four-game winless run in all competitions after a disappointing goalless draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina. Robert Lewandowski could be given a place on the bench this time out, while Jakub Kaminski and Nicola Zalewski are among those competing for changes in the attacking setup. Poland have scored 2.33 goals per game across their last three away matches, but Sweden have conceded in all of their last five home games.
Sweden’s potent front two and stronger home numbers make Sweden to Win our main betting pick, alongside Isak to Score and Both Teams to Score (Sweden seeing BTTS in all five of those home matches).
This Nations League match will be played on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Sweden vs Poland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sweden 3 - 1 Poland
Sweden vs Poland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1400 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Jan Bednarek @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Sweden 0 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Sweden +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Sweden to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Sweden to Win/Sweden to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sweden - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferSweden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwldwldlw | 1.50 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | wlldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.30 | 1.81 |
Poland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwwlldd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdwldd | 1.71 |
| Away | wwl | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.29 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.29 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 1.08 | 1.17 |
Sweden vs Poland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Sweden (67%)
3 Matches
Poland (33%)
Sweden vs Poland Past Results
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