Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

20:45

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Estrela

Estrela

Porto host Estrela in a Primeira Liga round 14 clash where the Portuguese giants look strong on paper despite injury absences. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a routine 2-0 home win. Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are sidelined, but coach Francesco Farioli still has the core of his squad available and the Dragons have been excellent this season, averaging 2.20 points p ... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 20:45

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

18:45

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Braga look well-placed to extend their excellent run as they host Santa Clara and we predict that they will do so with a routine 3-1 win. The Reds have collected 2.20 points per game overall and an impressive 2.50 PPG at home, winning 83% of their matches on home soil. Their attack is firing at a high level, averaging 3.33 goals per home match and scoring in every league out ... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 18:45

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Arouca are desperate to put an end to their six-game losing run in all competitions, but given their important absentees, we predict a 2-1 away win. Arouca host Alverca in a match that pits struggling hosts against in-form visitors. Os Lobos do not seem to be at their sharpest, having picked up just 0.7 points per game this season. Their home form is particularly poor, manag ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 20:30

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

Moreirense are eager to put an end to their three-game winless run, but with Benfica brimming with confidence following a 2-0 Champions League win over Napoli, we predict a 2-1 away win. The hosts will be without key midfielder Alanzinho, whose absence weakens their ball progression in central areas. Even with that setback, Moreirense have been involved in high-event games t ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 18:00

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

15:30

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Estoril

Estoril

Famalicao host Estoril in a matchup that could see a tight contest, with 1-0 being our predicted outcome. Os Azuis e Brancos have been solid at home this season, though inconsistent overall, collecting 1.6 points per game with a 40% win rate. They average 1.3 goals per match and concede just 0.8, boasting a 50% clean sheet record at home. Forward Oscar Aranda remains out lon ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 15:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

19:30

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AFS

AFS

Sporting return to league action after a spirited Champions League performance in their 1–3 loss to Bayern. Therefore, we predict that they will record a 3-0 win over AFS on Matchday 14. Even with several important absentees—Quenda, Trincão, Bragança and Gonçalves—they remain strong favourites thanks to outstanding home form. Sporting boast a perfect 100% home win r ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 19:30

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

18:00

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Rio Ave aim to build on a 2-1 win over AFS, but given their negative H2H record against Vitoria Guimaraes, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 away win. Os Rioavistas welcome Vitoria Guimaraes in a match that could be important for both sides. The hosts have been inconsistent, earning 1.3 points per game this season, with a 30% win rate and averaging 1.2 goals scored per match ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

15:30

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Tondela

Tondela

Nacional host Tondela in what promises to be a tightly contested clash, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Os Alvinegros have struggled recently, averaging just 1.1 points per game with only a 30% win rate this season. Their attack produces 1.3 goals per match, but defensive problems see them concede 1.5 on average. Potential absences of key players Joao Aurelio and Pablo Ruan ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 15:30

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Casa Pia host Gil Vicente in a clash that could be tight at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with our prediction pointing toward a hard-fought 1-0 away win. The home side have struggled this season, earning just 0.9 points per game and failing to win at home so far. Casa Pia average 1.5 goals per match but concede 1.9, keeping clean sheets in only 20% of fixtures. Their a ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 15:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.19
Total (Combined) 2.68
33.5 min/Goal (821 Goals in 306 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (179 times out of 306 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (147 times out of 306 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.74
Shots / Match (Away) 11.4
Fouls Per Match 27.44
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.82
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.63
Offsides Per Match 3.14
Players Participated 644

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66 18 +48 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89 24 +65 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74 25 +49 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64 36 +28 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42 29 +13 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47 38 +9 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense FC 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12 43 WLWLD
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12 42 WWLLL
9 FC Arouca 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17 42 WLDWW
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17 39 LWLDL
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9 36 DWDWL
13 Rio Ave FC 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22 36 DLDLD
14 CD Nacional 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26 30 LLLWD
17 CD Tondela 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40 21 DDWWD

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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