After outplaying Barnsley 4-1 in the FA Cup, Liverpool aim to return to winning ways in the Premier League. Given Barnley’s poor away record, we predict a routine 3-0 home win. The Reds are determined to keep their Premier League trophy hopes alive, but they need to improve their home record (0.60 goals per game) as soon as possible if they are to stay in the title race. Arne Slot rested a couple of first-team regulars in the FA Cup triumph, but the former Feyenoord boss is going to field the best possible side against Burnley, Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike, who return to the starting XI.
The Clarets, on the other hand, are having a season to forget, with the team collecting only 13 points from possible 63 to date. As Burnley have already suffered 8 defeats on the road (0% clean sheets of late), we are not tempted to bet on the underdogs. It has to be noted that Kyle Walker and Co. have been conceding 2.6 goals per away game. Defender Axel Tuanzebe is back from international duty, while forward Jaidon Anthony is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute in a 2-2 draw with Man Utd.
As David faces Goliath at Anfield, anything but a routine Home Win would be a big surprise. Additionally, Hugo Ekitike to Score and Liverpool -1.5 bets seem tempting.
This Premier League match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Liverpool vs Burnley prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Liverpool 3 - 0 Burnley
Liverpool vs Burnley Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Hugo Ekitike @ -138 Odds
- To be booked: Luis Florentino @ 225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferLiverpool Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdddw | 2.00 |
| Home | dwwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | dwwdd | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 2.10 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.08 | 1.21 |
Burnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldw | 0.60 |
| Home | ldldw | 0.83 |
| Away | lldl | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.33 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.49 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.65 | 1.69 |
Liverpool vs Burnley Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Liverpool (79%)
19 Matches
Burnley (11%)
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