Athletic Bilbao return to San Mames looking to respond after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Girona. Alejandro Rego is back from suspension, but Nico Williams remains sidelined for another week. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Real Betis suit Ernesto Valverde's troops. Despite their recent dip, Bilbao’s underlying numbers at home remain solid, producing 1.75 xG and conceding just 0.93 xGA on average. However, defensive efficiency hasn’t translated into clean sheets—0% in their last 10 matches—which keeps their games wide open.
Real Betis travel to the Basque Country with key forward Antony returning to the starting XI after featuring off the bench against Celta Vigo. Los Beticos have taken 1.50 PPG across their last 10 matches and look slightly sharper in attack away from home, generating 1.48 xG on their travels. Still, they fail to score in 50% of away matches and concede 1.00 goal per game, indicating inconsistency.
Historically, Bilbao hold the upper hand with 16 wins in 32 meetings, and 69% of H2H fixtures finish over 1.5 goals, often producing open, competitive battles. Given Athletic's stronger xG numbers at home and historical dominance, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside Over 1.5 goals and BTTS (Both teams hit 60% BTTS in their last 10, and neither keeps clean sheets consistently).
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Athletic Bilbao vs Betis prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Betis
Athletic Bilbao vs Betis Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Athletic Club +1 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferAthletic Bilbao Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlwwdlll | 1.40 |
| Home | dwlwl | 1.40 |
| Away | wwdll | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.13 | 0.93 | 1.34 |
Betis Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwddlld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwlddd | 1.50 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.28 |
Athletic Bilbao vs Betis Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Athletic Bilbao (50%)
32 Matches
Betis (28%)
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Mainz
Strasbourg
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Celta Vigo
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