Sparkles will be flying when AS Roma and Lazio lock horns in the Rome derby at the Stadio Olimpico, with valuable Serie A points and city pride on the line. As the nominal hosts want this win more than the Biancocelesti, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Romans head into the clash full of confidence after a thrilling 3-2 win over Parma, keeping their Champions League hopes alive. Gian Piero Gasperini's men have been strong going forward lately, averaging 2.1 goals per game across their last 10 outings, while remaining particularly dangerous at home where they win 60% of matches. Injuries to Artem Dovbyk, Evan Ferguson, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Bryan Zaragoza reduce depth, but Roma still possess enough quality in attack to trouble Lazio’s backline.
Lazio head into the local derby low on confidence following a heavy 3-0 defeat to Inter and have little left to play for sitting in ninth place. Despite decent overall form, the Biancocelesti have struggled for consistency in big matches, and the suspension of Alessio Romagnoli weakens their defense further. Still, Lazio boast a solid away record and usually remain competitive in derby matches, where intensity often outweighs form.
Given Roma's stronger motivation and better momentum, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals (73% H2H) and Over 4.5 yellow cards (tense local derby).
This Serie A match will be played on Monday 18 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our AS Roma vs Lazio prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AS Roma 2 - 0 Lazio
AS Roma vs Lazio Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Donyell Malen @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lazio +2.5 @ -589 Odds
- European Handicap: Lazio +3 @ -700 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Roma to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Roma to Win/Roma to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Roma - Yes @ 110 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on AS Roma vs Lazio?
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View OfferAS Roma Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwdwww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | dllww | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.77 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.04 | 1.62 |
Lazio Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdlwddwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Away | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.43 | 1.57 |
AS Roma vs Lazio Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AS Roma (48%)
40 Matches
Lazio (33%)
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