Weekly Europa Conference League Betting Tips
Below you’ll find our weekly Europa Conference League tips across the most relevant football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.
Europa Conference League Betting Tips
Europa Conference League Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season
Outright betting in the Europa Conference League focuses on predicting long-term outcomes across the competition rather than single fixtures. Instead of wagering on the result of one match, punters look at who will win the trophy, reach the semi-finals, or finish as top scorer. These futures markets are available before the group stage begins and remain active throughout, with prices shifting as favourites advance or get knocked out.
Unlike match markets settled in ninety minutes, outright stakes stay locked in for months, so assessing squad depth, fixture congestion, and managerial attitude toward Europe’s third competition is crucial. The main outright markets for the Europa Conference League include To Win, To Reach the Semi-Finals, and Top Scorer.
Our expert forecasts for the 2025/26 Europa Conference League season are provided below.
Who is most likely to win the Europa Conference League?
Priced at 5/1 (16.7%) by major bookmakers, Crystal Palace, are our favourite to win the Europa Conference League, with a settled spine and Marc Guéhi staying to anchor a defence that travels well and thrives under a thrilling Selhurst Park atmosphere. Another likely contender to win the Europa Conference League is Fiorentina at 11/2 (15.4%), supported by their near-annual deep runs in this competition and a proven knockout record that keeps them in the frame.
More information on the two teams most likely to win the Europa Conference League is below.
- Crystal Palace (5/1, 16.7%). Crystal Palace are the team most likely to win the Europa Conference League thanks to a blend of recent pedigree and a core that stayed intact. Palace’s FA Cup triumph over Manchester City in May 2025 confirmed their big-game ceiling, with Marc Guéhi anchoring a defensive unit that kept shape through 2024/25 and a thrilling atmosphere at Selhurst Park routinely lifting performance in decisive home nights. Recent trend for Crystal Palace is encouraging too, with the team losing only two of their last 16 Premier League away games coming into Europe, a profile that travels well in the league phase and knockouts. With that spine, hostile home backing, and a proven capacity to navigate high-pressure ties, Crystal Palace look most likely to win the Europa Conference League.
- Fiorentina (11/2, 15.4%). Fiorentina remain a strong contender to win the Europa Conference League, built on unrivalled recent consistency in the competition. La Viola finished runners-up in 2023 and 2024 and reached the semi-finals last season, showing repeated ability to handle two-legged ties and neutral-venue finals. A sixth-place Serie A finish for Fiorentina in the 2024–25 season points to stable domestic strength, and continuity across key roles sustains a reliable chance-creation profile that holds up against varied European opponents. With that track record and a squad calibrated for knockout football, Fiorentina are another favourite to win the Europa Conference League in 2025–26.
Who is most likely to reach the Semi-Finals in the Europa Conference League?
The leading contenders to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals in 2025/26 are Crystal Palace, Fiorentina, Shakhtar Donetsk, and AEK Athens. Each club has either the squad quality, experience, or home advantage needed to progress deep into the knockout rounds.
More detail on the 4 main candidates to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals this season is given below.
- Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace are one of the clubs most likely to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, given they’re carrying strong momentum from their FA Cup triumph over Manchester City last season. The decisive factor for Palace this season is stability at the back, with Marc Guéhi staying despite summer speculation, providing leadership in high-pressure knockout ties. Add to that the thrilling Selhurst Park atmosphere, which consistently inspires performances on decisive nights, and Palace look equipped to push into the Europa Conference League final four with ease.
- Fiorentina. Fiorentina are another strong candidate to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, having built one of the most consistent records in this competition. Runners-up in 2022–23 and 2023–24 and semi-finalists last season, La Viola’s track record of success shows their ability to adapt to varied opposition and handle knockout pressure. A sixth-place Serie A finish underlined their ongoing domestic strength, and the core of their squad has remained intact. This combination of recent continental success and stability ensures that Fiorentina remain one of the most likely sides to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals.
- Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk are another serious contender to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, thanks to their long European pedigree. Champions League veterans and winners of the 2009 UEFA Cup, they now find themselves in a competition more suited to their current level. Reinforced by the summer signings of Brazilian talents Luca Meirelles (forward), and Lucas Ferreira and Isaque (midfielders), Shakhtar Donetsk have added flair and attacking depth to a team already comfortable in knockout scenarios, making them highly likely to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals this season.
Who is most likely to reach the Semi-Finals in the Europa Conference League?
The leading contenders to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals in 2025/26 are Crystal Palace, Fiorentina, Shakhtar Donetsk, and AEK Athens. Each club has either the squad quality, experience, or home advantage needed to progress deep into the knockout rounds.
More detail on the 4 main candidates to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals this season is given below.
- Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace are one of the clubs most likely to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, given they’re carrying strong momentum from their FA Cup triumph over Manchester City last season. The decisive factor for Palace this season is stability at the back, with Marc Guéhi staying despite summer speculation, providing leadership in high-pressure knockout ties. Add to that the thrilling Selhurst Park atmosphere, which consistently inspires performances on decisive nights, and Palace look equipped to push into the Europa Conference League final four with ease.
- Fiorentina. Fiorentina are another strong candidate to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, having built one of the most consistent records in this competition. Runners-up in 2022–23 and 2023–24 and semi-finalists last season, La Viola’s track record of success shows their ability to adapt to varied opposition and handle knockout pressure. A sixth-place Serie A finish underlined their ongoing domestic strength, and the core of their squad has remained intact. This combination of recent continental success and stability ensures that Fiorentina remain one of the most likely sides to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals.
- Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk are another serious contender to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals, thanks to their long European pedigree. Champions League veterans and winners of the 2009 UEFA Cup, they now find themselves in a competition more suited to their current level. Reinforced by the summer signings of Brazilian talents Luca Meirelles (forward), and Lucas Ferreira and Isaque (midfielders), Shakhtar Donetsk have added flair and attacking depth to a team already comfortable in knockout scenarios, making them highly likely to reach the Europa Conference League semi-finals this season.
- AEK Athens. AEK Athens are a fourth contender with a strong chance of reaching the Europa Conference League semi-finals, driven by amazing home support and high-profile reinforcements. The Olympic Stadium in Athens has long been a cauldron for visiting sides, and in European nights it becomes a decisive advantage. The signings of Marko Grujić, Luka Jović, Răzvan Marin, and Filipe Relvas give them quality upgrades across midfield, attack, and defence. This depth complements a squad that already proved competitive, and with the passion of their home base, AEK Athens look well placed to fight their way into the Europa Conference League semi-finals.
Which team will finish bottom in the Europa Conference League?
Lincoln Red Imps are the team most likely to finish bottom in the Europa Conference League league stage. The main reasons are their mainly amateur squad and a defence that struggles to cope with higher-level opposition, leaving them exposed against professional sides from stronger leagues.
Domestically, they dominate with 29 league titles, but their 2025 European run exposed their limits on the path to the Conference League. In July they were outclassed 6–1 on aggregate by Crvena Zvezda in the Champions League second qualifying round, and after edging past Noah on penalties in the Europa League third qualifying round in early August, they were crushed 9–1 by Sporting Braga in the Europa League play-off later that month. Those results showed both defensive fragility and the gap in quality, making Lincoln Red Imps the most likely side to finish bottom of their Europa Conference League league stage group.
Who will finish top scorer in the Europa Conference League?
Frenchman and Crystal Palace centre-forward Jean-Philippe Mateta is most likely to finish top scorer in the Europa Conference League. Mateta has a proven goal record (14 league goals in 2024–25) and a unique ability to place himself in scoring positions with shots from distance and flick-ons.
Mateta joined Palace on loan in January 2021 and made the move permanent in January 2022. In the 2024–25 Premier League season, he scored 14 goals in 37 appearances for Palace, a strong tally that underscores his finishing ability. Mateta’s style (frequently getting into scoring positions, executing flick-ons, and taking shots from distance) gives him an edge in a European competition where space opens up and moments count.
Europa Conference League Betting Stats and Data
Introduced in 2021, the Europa Conference League is UEFA’s third-tier club competition, offering teams from across Europe a chance to claim a continental victory. To support our Conference League tips, we draw on competition data such as how often favourites progress in knockout rounds, the average goals scored in league-phase fixtures, and the frequency of Both Teams to Score (BTTS) across the last five seasons. These patterns provide the statistical backbone for our previews across the most popular Conference League betting markets.
Europa Conference League Stats (2025/2026)
| Team Type |
Average Goals Scored |
| Home Teams |
1.72 |
| Away Teams |
1.18 |
| Total (Combined) |
2.9 |
31 min/Goal
(844 Goals in 291 matches)
57% Clean Sheets
(168 times out of 291 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored
(141 times out of 291 matches)
| Outcome (Full-Time Result) |
% of Matches |
| Home Win |
48% |
| Draw |
21% |
| Away Win |
31% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Over |
| Over 0.5 |
94% |
| Over 1.5 |
77% |
| Over 2.5 |
55% |
| Over 3.5 |
33% |
| Over 4.5 |
19% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Under |
| Under 0.5 |
6% |
| Under 1.5 |
23% |
| Under 2.5 |
45% |
| Under 3.5 |
67% |
| Under 4.5 |
81% |
| UEFA Europa Conference League Match Stats (2025/2026) |
| Shots Per Match |
22.06 |
| Shots / Match (Home) |
12.96 |
| Shots / Match (Away) |
9.1 |
| Fouls Per Match |
25.2 |
| Fouls / Match (Home) |
12.53 |
| Fouls / Match (Away) |
12.67 |
| Offsides Per Match |
3.52 |
| Players Participated |
3908 |
Europa Conference League Results
| Date |
Match |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Lausanne Sport |
3 - 0 |
Breidablik |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Dynamo Kyiv |
0 - 2 |
Crystal Palace |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Artsakh |
1 - 0 |
Rijeka |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 - 0 |
Hamrun Spartans |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Zrinjski |
5 - 0 |
Lincoln Red Imps |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
KuPS |
1 - 1 |
Drita |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Lech Poznań |
4 - 1 |
Rapid Wien |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Omonia Nicosia |
0 - 1 |
Mainz 05 |
| 02/10/2025, 16:45 |
Rayo Vallecano |
2 - 0 |
Shkendija |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Aberdeen |
2 - 3 |
Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Sparta Praha |
4 - 1 |
Shamrock Rovers |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
AEK Larnaca |
4 - 0 |
AZ |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Fiorentina |
2 - 0 |
Sigma Olomouc |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Legia Warszawa |
0 - 1 |
Samsunspor |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Celje |
3 - 1 |
AEK Athens |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Raków Częstochowa |
2 - 0 |
CS U Craiova |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Shelbourne |
0 - 0 |
Häcken |
| 02/10/2025, 19:00 |
Slovan Bratislava |
1 - 2 |
Strasbourg |
Europa Conference League Fixtures
| Date |
Match |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
AEK Athens |
6 - 0 |
Aberdeen |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
AZ |
1 - 0 |
Slovan Bratislava |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Häcken |
2 - 2 |
Rayo Vallecano |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Breidablik |
0 - 0 |
KuPS |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Drita |
1 - 1 |
Omonia Nicosia |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Rijeka |
- |
Sparta Praha |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Shkendija |
1 - 0 |
Shelbourne |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Strasbourg |
1 - 1 |
Jagiellonia Białystok |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Shakhtar Donetsk |
1 - 2 |
Legia Warszawa |
| 23/10/2025, 16:45 |
Rapid Wien |
0 - 3 |
Fiorentina |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Mainz 05 |
1 - 0 |
Zrinjski |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Crystal Palace |
0 - 1 |
AEK Larnaca |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Hamrun Spartans |
0 - 1 |
Lausanne Sport |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Lincoln Red Imps |
2 - 1 |
Lech Poznań |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Samsunspor |
3 - 0 |
Dynamo Kyiv |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Shamrock Rovers |
0 - 2 |
Celje |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
Sigma Olomouc |
1 - 1 |
Raków Częstochowa |
| 23/10/2025, 19:00 |
CS U Craiova |
1 - 1 |
Artsakh |
What are Europa Conference League Predictions?
Europa Conference League predictions are expert forecasts of results in Europe’s third tier tournament. Unlike domestic leagues where consistency defines success, Conference League forecasts focus on knockout ties and varied opponents from across UEFA’s membership.
Our Europa Conference League predictions assess which sides have the quality and squad depth to progress to the later rounds, and which betting markets (such as Match Result, Over/Under Goals, and Clean Sheets) show the strongest statistical trends. Our highly accurate football predictions combine form, xG data, and head-to-head records, accounting for the competition’s mix of established clubs and ambitious outsiders.
How are Europa Conference League Predictions determined?
At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts shape Europa Conference League predictions through a five-step process that blends competition structure, statistical insight, squad analysis, travel effects, and betting market evaluation.
The five steps behind our Conference League predictions are as follows.
- Establishing the competition context
- Weighing recent form with robust metrics
- Tracking squad availability
- Layering venue and travel effects
- Comparing model edges to market prices
- Setting the tie context and competition rules. The first step required to form accurate Europa Conference League predictions is defining the league-phase into knockouts, Thursday scheduling, and advancement rules that drive rotation and risk.
- Assessing form and underlying data. The second step in producing accurate Europa Conference League predictions is assessing form and underlying data. This process involves blending rolling xG for and against, shot quality, set-piece threat, pressing intensity, and opponent ratings to separate sustainable trends from noise.
- Reviewing squad availability and rotation. The third step in producing accurate Europa Conference League predictions is reviewing squad availability and rotation. Clarity on injuries, suspensions, role stability, and bench depth across weekend-to-Thursday cycles is essential, since selection patterns often tilt narrow probabilities.
- Factoring venue, travel, and conditions. Another crucial step that helps shape accurate Europa Conference League predictions is pricing home advantage, stadium and pitch profiles, late-autumn weather, and long travel chains that influence tempo and shot volume. Right-sized venue adjustments keep Europa Conference League predictions realistic.
- Comparing projections with bookmaker odds. The final stage for producing Europa Conference League predictions converts model probabilities into fair odds, flags mispricings in outrights and match lines, and assigns confidence tiers for staking discipline. This market check turns ratings into serviceable Europa Conference League predictions.
What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the Europa Conference League?
The three most appealing betting markets for the Europa Conference League are Home Wins, Over 1.5 Goals, and Clean Sheets. These markets stand out because they represent the most frequent match outcomes in the Europa Conference League, making them especially attractive for bettors looking for reliable and value-driven markets. Bettors are drawn to them for their long-term reliability and because seasonal and club-level statistics provide clear evidence that these markets consistently deliver value.
More information on the 3 best markets for betting on the Europa Conference League is given below.
- Home Win. The Home Wins market is highly appealing for Conference League bettors due to the clear edge shown by home sides across multiple seasons. In 2021/22, home wins accounted for 49% of ECL matches compared to 28% away victories and 23% draws. The same pattern repeated in 2024/25, with home wins at 50%, again ahead of away wins (29%) and draws (20%). Club-level stats confirm this trend – Feyenoord reached the final in 2021/22 with a strong home record, recording 11 wins across the campaign, while West Ham in 2022/23 went unbeaten in 15 matches, winning 14 on their way to lifting the trophy, including a dominant record at home. Such figures confirm that backing home sides is often a rewarding strategy, making the Home Win market a standout choice for Conference League punters.
- Over 1.5 Goals. The Over 1.5 Goals market is extremely appealing for Conference League bettors because of the tournament’s consistent scoring levels. Goals per game have ranged from 2.56 in 2022/23 to 2.96 in 2023/24, with Over 1.5 hitting between 70% and 95% of fixtures across the last four seasons of the League. At a club level, high-scoring sides make this market particularly attractive – Bodo/Glimt in 2021/22 had 89% of matches finish Over 1.5, Fiorentina in 2022/23 posted 88%, and Chelsea in 2024/25 recorded 87%. These consistently high numbers highlight why Over 1.5 Goals is one of the most reliable and rewarding Conference League betting markets.
- Clean Sheets (CS). Clean Sheets is one of the best markets for Conference League bettors because successful teams often rely on defensive discipline to progress. Across the League, clean sheets have stayed between 49% and 65% of matches depending on the season, underlining their frequency. At a team level, defensive dominance stands out. For instance, Viktoria Plzeň in 2023/24 kept a remarkable 75% clean sheets, while Anderlecht managed 50% in 2022/23. Chelsea in 2024/25 combined attacking output with defensive strength as well, posting 40% clean sheets on their way to the title. These statistics confirm that Clean Sheets are a consistent and profitable betting angle in the Europa Conference League.
A table summarising key outcomes across the last four Europa Conference League seasons is given below.
| Europa Conference League Season |
Match Result (Home Wins) |
Match Result (Draws) |
Match Result (Away Wins) |
Over 1.5 Goals |
Clean Sheets |
Avg. Goals / Match |
| 2021/22 |
49% |
23% |
28% |
74% |
57% |
2.73 |
| 2022/23 |
46% |
22% |
32% |
70% |
65% |
2.58 |
| 2023/24 |
48% |
21% |
31% |
79% |
49% |
3.12 |
| 2024/25 |
50% |
20% |
29% |
75% |
59% |
2.88 |
When are Europa Conference League Predictions released?
Europa Conference League predictions are published early in the week ahead of each round of fixtures. With matches traditionally scheduled for Thursday evenings, releasing tips a few days in advance gives readers enough time to review the analysis and follow any late developments in form or squad news. This schedule keeps our Conference League forecasts timely and reliable, helping punters prepare with confidence well before matchday.
Europa Conference League Season Guide
UEFA’s Europa Conference League enters its fifth edition in 2025/26, running from 2 October 2025 through 27 May 2026, when the final takes place at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig. The competition uses a 36-team league phase followed by knockouts, with entrants made up of 24 Conference League play-off winners and 12 clubs eliminated from the Europa League play-off round. The title winner earns a berth in the 2026/27 Europa League league phase. For punters following European teams, it’s worth noting Europa Conference League forecasts often overlap with Serie A predictions. Italian clubs frequently play a major role in this competition, as teams finishing just below the Champions League or Europa League spots often turn to the Conference League as their best opportunity for continental success. This connection between Serie A and the Conference League reflects how the tournament rewards consistency from strong domestic performers seeking to translate league form into European achievement.
What Is the Format of the Europa Conference League 2025/26 Season?
The format of the 2025/26 Europa Conference League follows a 36-team league phase in which each side plays six matches, three at home and three away, before progression is decided by overall standings. The top eight Conference League clubs advance directly to the round of 16, while teams ranked 9th to 24th enter a two-legged knockout play-off for the remaining places. Sides finishing 25th to 36th in the League are eliminated at this stage.
League-phase matchdays for the 2025/26 Europa Conference League are set for 2 October, 23 October, 6 November, 27 November, 11 December, and 18 December 2025, with knockout rounds beginning in February and the final taking place in May. Qualification to the league phase combines 24 Conference League play-off winners with 12 clubs eliminated from the Europa League play-off round, reflecting UEFA’s revised post-2024 format.
What are the Start & End Dates for Europa Conference League 2025/26?
The 2025/26 Europa Conference League runs from the first qualifying round on 8 July 2025 through to the final on 27 May 2026 at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, Germany. The qualifying rounds take place between July and August, with the play-off round concluding at the end of that month. The league phase of the Europa Conference League begins in early October and runs through mid-December, spread across six matchdays. After a winter break, the knockout play-offs resume in February 2026, followed by the round of 16 in March, quarter-finals in April, semi-finals in early May, and the one-off final later that same month.
How are Europa Conference League Fixtures built up?
Europa Conference League fixtures are built based on UEFA’s new format introduced in 2024/25, with a 36-team league phase replacing the traditional group stage. Qualifying is divided into four stages (the first, second, and third qualifying rounds, plus a play-off round) which determine the 24 entrants who join 12 clubs eliminated from the Europa League play-offs.
Once in the Conference League league phase, each side is drawn by computer to play six different opponents, one from each pot of seeds, with three matches at home and three away. Rankings from this league table decide progression – the top eight go directly to the round of 16, while clubs placed 9th to 24th enter a knockout play-off to decide the remaining eight places. From there the Conference League competition adopts a straight knockout format, with two-legged ties in every round up to the final.
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- La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga coverage explores Spain’s biggest teams, key matches, and form trends throughout the season.
