What is our Brest vs Lens prediction?
Brest
2 - 3
Lens
Our prediction for this match: Brest 2 - 3 Lens
Brest vs Lens Preview
Friday's football game at Stade Francis-Le Ble sees Brest hosting Lens in a clash between mid-table safety and European ambition. Given Lens' huge attacking potential and Brest's lack of motivation, we predict a 3-2 away win. Les Pirates sit 12th, 12 points clear of relegation, but injuries to Balde, Doumbia and Locko limit depth. Their last 10 form is mixed with 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.40 goals and conceding 1.30 on average; at home they are stronger, winning 75% with 2.25 goals scored.
Lens, on the other hand, are chasing PSG in the title race after a 3-2 comeback win over Toulouse. Their form shows 1.70 points per game, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, plus a 70% BTTS rate and xG of 2.19. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team, but all Antonio, Gradit, and Gurtner remain in the recovery room.
Given Lens' superior xG, better form, and momentum, our prediction firmly points toward Away Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Lens attacking power and Brest home scoring suggest open game again likely).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday, 24 April 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Fri 24 Apr 2026, 19:45UK time
Brest vs Lens Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Brest 2-3 Lens | 22/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Lens | 2/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Lens / Lens | 13/10 | |
| Asian Handicap: Lens -0.5 | 21/40 | |
| European Handicap: Brest +2 | 8/15 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Wesley Said | 11/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Wesley Said | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Ludovic Ajorque | 11/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 3/4 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 7/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Over 4.5 Goals | 4/1 | |
| Lens Clean Sheet: No | 8/15 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferBrest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwwwllld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | ddwlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.05 | 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.58 | 1.77 |
Lens Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddwlwlww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wddll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.60 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.19 | 2.72 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.94 | 1.25 |
Brest vs Lens Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brest (36%)
25 Matches
Lens (48%)
Brest vs Lens Past Results
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