As both Brest and Rennes are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Saturday's Breton derby, our prediction leans toward 1-1 draw. Les Pirates look to bounce back after a disappointing 3-0 defeat to Auxerre, but the return of key attacker Ludovic Ajorque and defensive leader Brendan Chardonnet provides a major boost. At home, Brest have been far more consistent, taking 2.25 points per game and keeping 75% clean sheets at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. Their defensive record at home—only 0.50 goals conceded per match—suggests they can contain Rennes’ frontline if they regain focus.
Rennes arrive frustrated after a 0-0 draw with bottom-placed Metz, a result that exposed their inconsistency. Les Rouges et Noirs average 1.30 points per game overall, but their away record remains unstable, with 2.00 goals conceded per match. Although they keep 40% clean sheets, Rennes also fail to score in 40% of away fixtures, highlighting their unpredictable nature. Historically, Rennes hold the upper hand in this derby with 10 wins from 21 meetings, though Brest often make it difficult, with 8 draws in that span. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
As both sides have found the net in 67% of H2H meetings, we are tempted to place our bets on Both Teams to Score, alongside Draw and Over 4.5 yellow cards (Breton derby traditionally heated and physical).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Brest vs Rennes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Brest 1 - 1 Rennes
Brest vs Rennes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Esteban Lepaul @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Esteban Lepaul @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Ludovic Ajorque @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Brest +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Lille -3 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rennes - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Brest vs Rennes?
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View OfferBrest Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwdwwwll | 1.40 |
| Home | lwww | 2.25 |
| Away | lddwll | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.27 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.41 | 1.84 |
Rennes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwwwwld | 1.30 |
| Home | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Away | lllww | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.89 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.25 |
Brest vs Rennes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Brest (14%)
21 Matches
Rennes (48%)
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