What is our Lorient vs Auxerre prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lorient 2 - 1 Auxerre
Lorient vs Auxerre Preview
Lorient continue their strong Ligue 1 campaign as they host Auxerre at Stade du Moustoir. With les Merlus being in a much better form than the visitors, we predict a 2-1 home win. The hosts remain in impressive shape, collecting 2.30 points per game overall and boasting a home record of 2.50 points per game. Offensively, Lorient excel with 2.50 goals scored per match and a robust xG of 1.64, while defensively they remain solid, conceding just 0.90 goals per game. Doubts over Arsene Kouassi may see Bamo Meite step in, but the side’s attacking threat remains potent.
Auxerre, on the other hand, have struggled, averaging just 0.80 points per game and conceding 1.50 goals per match. Their away form is slightly better but still fragile, allowing 1.00 goal per game and scoring only 0.75 goals on the road. Their defensive lapses were exposed in a 3-0 defeat to Rennes.
Historically, these fixtures have been tight, with six draws in 14 encounters, but Lorient’s current momentum gives them the edge. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as both teams capable of finding the net.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday, 1 March 2026 at 16:15.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sun 1 Mar 2026, 16:15UK time
Lorient vs Auxerre Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Lorient 2-1 Auxerre | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/3 | |
| Draw No Bet: Lorient | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Lorient / Lorient | 12/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Lorient 0 | 9/20 | |
| European Handicap: Lorient +1 | 1/3 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Sambou Soumano | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Sambou Soumano | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Lasso Coulibaly | 11/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 19/20 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 6/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/14 | |
| Lorient Clean Sheet: No | 8/15 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferLorient Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwlwd | 2.30 |
| Home | dwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwwwld | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 2.25 | 4.17 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.31 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 0.98 | 1.48 |
Auxerre Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllllddwl | 0.80 |
| Home | wllldl | 0.67 |
| Away | lldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.49 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.52 |
Lorient vs Auxerre Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Lorient (14%)
14 Matches
Auxerre (43%)





