Stade Velodrome will be the stage for a highly-anticipated Ligue 1 clash as Marseille look to put their disappointing start behind them against ambitious Paris FC. Bruno Genesio's side suffered a 2-0 defeat to Monaco despite generating 1.41 xG, and the absence of Mason Greenwood has been noticeable in the early weeks of the campaign. Igor Paixao is also sidelined with injury, leaving Marseille searching for more attacking inspiration. The hosts have won 71% of their last 10 home matches, scoring 2.29 goals per game and averaging 2.19 xG.
Paris FC, meanwhile, made a huge statement by cruising to a 3-0 victory over Nice. Their summer recruits have adapted quickly, with the visitors producing 2.38 xG in that impressive performance. Paris FC have won 40% of their last 10 matches, but their away record is concerning, with no victories in five games and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Pagis, Otavio, and Kebbal are doubtful after picking up knocks against Nice. The two previous H2H meetings produced at least four goals and BTTS.
Given Marseille's outstanding home record and Paris FC's potential absences, Home Win should be considered. Additionally, Marseille Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals markets seem tempting (both previous H2H meetings produced more than 2.5 goals).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Marseille vs Paris FC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 1 Paris FC
Marseille vs Paris FC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Maxime Lopez @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Marseille 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Paris FC +2 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Marseille to Win/Marseille to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwwwlwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wlwwwlw | 2.14 |
| Away | lwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.43 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.29 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.19 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.06 | 1.36 |
Paris FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwwdlldw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | ldlld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.61 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.35 |
Marseille vs Paris FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (50%)
2 Matches
Paris FC (0%)
Marseille vs Paris FC Past Results
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