Sparkles will be flying when Olympique Marseille and PSG face each other in the Ligue 1 derby on Sunday evening, with Marseille desperate to end a three-game losing run in the national championship. Les Olympiens have struggled since key attacker Mason Greenwood joined Fenerbahce in the summer, although they have won 63% of their last 10 home matches and average 2.25 goals per game at home. Nnadi and Kondogbia remain in the recovery room.
Les Parisiens have yet to find their best form, but they managed to edge Brest 1-0 thanks to Ferran Torres’ goal, with the new signing already starting to pay off. PSG have scored 1.60 goals per game across their last 10 matches, while their away fixtures average 2.60 goals. Achraf Hakimi is expected to recover in time to face OM, while no fresh injury worries for Luis Enrique.
PSG have dominated this fixture historically, winning 27 of the last 40 meetings. Given Marseille's slow start to the season, our main prediction leans toward Away Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (65% of the previous 40 H2H encounters produced at least three goals, while PSG’s last 10 matches average 3.00 goals).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Marseille vs PSG prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 1 - 2 PSG
Marseille vs PSG Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Pierre Hojbjerg @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Marseille +1.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Marseille +2 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -600 Odds
- Draw No Bet: PSG to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: PSG to Win/PSG to Win @ 105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: PSG - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwlwllll | 1.20 |
| Home | lwwwlwl | 1.71 |
| Away | lll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.57 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.14 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.43 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 2.02 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 0.94 | 1.79 |
PSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwlddlww | 1.30 |
| Home | ddwlw | 1.60 |
| Away | llddw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 2.11 | 2.24 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.12 | 1.24 |
Marseille vs PSG Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (18%)
40 Matches
PSG (68%)
Marseille vs PSG Past Results
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