Olympique Marseille and Rennes square off against each other in a highly-anticipated last-day derby. As both sides are capable of scoring, we predict a 2-2 draw. OM have been inconsistent overall, averaging 1.40 points per game across their last ten matches, but their home performances remain more reliable, collecting 1.60 points per game and scoring 1.60 goals per match at the Velodrome. However, defensive lapses have been an issue, with Marseille conceding in 50% of their recent fixtures and BTTS landing in 80% of home games. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Rennes, by contrast, come into this clash in excellent form, averaging 2.20 points per game over their last ten matches and winning 70% of them. They are particularly dangerous going forward, scoring 2.10 goals per game overall and an impressive 3.25 on the road. However, right-back Przemysław Frankowski is a notable absentee due to injury, which could weaken their defensive structure. Head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Marseille winning 47% of meetings and BTTS landing in half of them.
As both sides show strong attacking output and average defensive gaps, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals (Rennes average 3.30 goals per game overall, Marseille matches are often open).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Marseille vs Rennes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 2 Rennes
Marseille vs Rennes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ -105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rennes +1 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Rennes +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 650 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -500 Odds
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwllwldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | dwlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.98 | 1.22 |
Rennes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldwwwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wldwww | 2.17 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.17 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.35 |
Marseille vs Rennes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (47%)
36 Matches
Rennes (25%)
Marseille vs Rennes Past Results
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