What is our Marseille vs Rennes prediction?
Marseille
2 - 2
Rennes
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 2 Rennes
Marseille vs Rennes Preview
Olympique Marseille and Rennes square off against each other in a highly-anticipated last-day derby. As both sides are capable of scoring, we predict a 2-2 draw. OM have been inconsistent overall, averaging 1.40 points per game across their last ten matches, but their home performances remain more reliable, collecting 1.60 points per game and scoring 1.60 goals per match at the Velodrome. However, defensive lapses have been an issue, with Marseille conceding in 50% of their recent fixtures and BTTS landing in 80% of home games. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Rennes, by contrast, come into this clash in excellent form, averaging 2.20 points per game over their last ten matches and winning 70% of them. They are particularly dangerous going forward, scoring 2.10 goals per game overall and an impressive 3.25 on the road. However, right-back Przemysław Frankowski is a notable absentee due to injury, which could weaken their defensive structure. Head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Marseille winning 47% of meetings and BTTS landing in half of them.
As both sides show strong attacking output and average defensive gaps, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals (Rennes average 3.30 goals per game overall, Marseille matches are often open).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday, 17 May 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sun 17 May 2026, 20:00UK time
Marseille vs Rennes Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Marseille 2-2 Rennes | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 5/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 13/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Rennes +1 | 21/40 | |
| European Handicap: Rennes +1 | 5/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood | 20/21 | |
| First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Facundo Medina | 6/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Marseille Clean Sheet: No | 1/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwllwldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | dwlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | wlllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.85 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.10 | 0.98 | 1.22 |
Rennes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldwwwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wldwww | 2.17 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.17 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.75 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.35 |
Marseille vs Rennes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (47%)
36 Matches
Rennes (25%)
Marseille vs Rennes Past Results
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