What is our Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction?
Marseille
2 - 1
Strasbourg
Our prediction for this match: Marseille 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Marseille vs Strasbourg Preview
Marseille will be looking to start their Ligue 1 campaign with a victory when they welcome Strasbourg to the Stade Velodrome. OM suffered a 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid in their last warm-up game, but they registered an impressive 2.03 xG per game across their last 10 fixtures. However, they will need to adapt to life without key forward Mason Greenwood, while centre-back Facundo Medina has also left the club. Hamed Traore has arrived as one of the notable summer additions.
Strasbourg, meanwhile, head into the opener after defeating Newcastle on penalties in their final warm-up game. Le Racing have won only three of their last 10, conceding 1.70 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet during that run. Fabio Balde, Jeyland Mitchell, Jacobo Ortega and Diogo Sousa have joined, but Valentin Barco, Julio Enciso and Emmanuel Emegha have departed. Marseille have dominated this fixture historically, winning eight of the last 18 meetings, with Strasbourg winning just once.
As OM have a strong home record and dominate this H2H, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Marseille Over 1.5 (they average 1.86 goals per home game), and Marseille to Score First.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday, 21 August 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Fri 21 Aug 2026, 19:45UK time
Marseille vs Strasbourg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Marseille 2-1 Strasbourg | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Marseille | 3/10 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Marseille / Marseille | 13/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Marseille -0.5 | 7/10 | |
| European Handicap: Strasbourg +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Samir El Mourabet | 9/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Marseille Clean Sheet: No | 4/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferMarseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlwwlwwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | dwlwwwl | 1.86 |
| Away | llw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.14 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.86 | 0.33 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 71% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 14% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 2.03 | 2.28 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.05 | 1.32 |
Strasbourg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllldwwld | 1.10 |
| Home | lllw | 0.75 |
| Away | wldwld | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.44 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.76 | 1.83 |
Marseille vs Strasbourg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Marseille (44%)
18 Matches
Strasbourg (6%)
Marseille vs Strasbourg Past Results
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