Metz vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips | 10/05/2026

Metz vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips | 10 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 May 2026 • 18:00 UTC • 1 min read

Metz vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips 10 May 2026

Metz welcome Lorient in a low-pressure clash, with the hosts already relegated and the visitors comfortably safe in mid-table. As both teams will be with guards down in Sunday's game, we predict a 2-2 draw. Les Grenats may feel unlucky after their last-gasp defeat to Monaco, but their overall form tells the real story—no wins in the last ten matches and just 0.30 points per game. Defensive fragility has been their downfall all season, conceding 2.30 goals per match, while also failing to score in half of those games. With nothing left to play for, motivation could be questionable despite a desire to end on a positive note.

Lorient, meanwhile, are far from consistent but showed resilience in a 2-2 draw with PSG. While their away form is poor (no wins in last four), they still look more balanced than Metz, especially going forward. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team. Historically, this fixture produces goals, with 69% of meetings seeing both teams score.

Taking everything into account, Both teams to score looks like a strong option given defensive weaknesses. Over 2.5 goals is also appealing as both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach in Sunday's game.

This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Metz vs Lorient prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Metz 2 - 2 Lorient

Metz vs Lorient Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Gauthier Hein @ 175 Odds
First Goalscorer: Gauthier Hein @ 600 Odds
To be Booked: Jean-Philippe Gbamin @ 275 Odds
Asian Handicap: Metz +0.5 @ -160 Odds
European Handicap: Metz +1 @ -175 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
Clean Sheet: Lorient - No @ -400 Odds

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Metz Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llllddlldl	0.30
Home	lldll	0.20
Away	lldld	0.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.00	3.60
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	2.30	2.00	2.60
BTTS	50%	60%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	50%	40%	60%
Expected Goals	1.31	1.85	0.76
Expected Goals Against	1.73	1.29	2.16

Lorient Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dddwldlwld	1.10
Home	ddwdwl	1.50
Away	dlld	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.67	2.25
Scored	1.20	1.50	0.75
Conceded	1.30	1.17	1.50
BTTS	60%	67%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	33%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	17%	50%
Expected Goals	1.13	1.24	0.99
Expected Goals Against	1.62	1.59	1.65