Metz face a must-win situation as they cling to slim survival hopes, but their form offers little encouragement. Given Metz's shaky defence, we predict a 3-1 win for Monaco. Les Grenats are winless in the last 10 matches (0.3 PPG), conceding a worrying 2.4 goals per game. The recent 4-4 draw with Le Havre highlighted major defensive issues, while Jean-Philippe Gbamin is doubtful, further weakening an already fragile back line. Metz average just 1.0 goal scored and fail to score in 50% of matches.
Les Rouges et Blancs, on the other hand, are pushing for Europe and arrive in strong form with 2.1 points per game. They score 2.1 goals on average, while away matches are particularly open (4.17 total goals per game, 100% BTTS). Although they concede 1.5 goals per match, their attacking quality consistently compensates. H2H heavily favours Monaco (81% wins), with 69% of meetings producing over 2.5 goals.
Considering huge form and quality gap, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, alongside Monaco Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals total (both sides involved in high-scoring games).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Metz vs Monaco prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Metz 1 - 3 Monaco
Metz vs Monaco Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Alexandr Golovin @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Monaco -1 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Metz +3 @ -2000 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Monaco to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Monaco to Win/Monaco to Win @ -111 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Monaco - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferMetz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllllddlld | 0.30 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | lldld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.89 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.25 | 2.16 |
Monaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwldd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwwd | 2.50 |
| Away | wdwwld | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 2.75 | 4.17 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.38 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.38 | 1.92 |
Metz vs Monaco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Metz (13%)
16 Matches
Monaco (81%)
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