Metz vs Nantes Prediction & Betting Tips | 05/04/2026

Metz vs Nantes Prediction and Betting Tips | 5 April 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

1 April 2026 • 08:52 UTC • 1 min read

Metz vs Nantes Prediction and Betting Tips 5 April 2026

Metz and Nantes meet in a crucial relegation showdown, with both sides desperate for points. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw. Les Grenats remain rooted to the bottom and have collected just 0.20 points per game across their last 10 matches, failing to win any. Their attack has been particularly poor, scoring only 0.70 goals per match and failing to find the net in 60% of recent outings. Still, a goalless draw with Rennes boosted confidence slightly, and with no fresh injuries, the hosts will hope stability helps them turn the tide.

Nantes sit just above them in the penultimate spot and arrive after a dramatic 3-2 loss to Strasbourg. Their form remains worrying, with just 0.40 PPG overall and 0.00 PPG away from home in their last three away matches. Les Canaris concede 1.80 goals per match, keeping just 10% clean sheets, though they do show more attacking consistency than Metz, averaging 0.90 goals scored and posting a stronger 1.28 xG.

Considering very low-scoring H2H history (only 13% Over 2.5), we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Draw and Over 3.5 yellow cards (relegation six-pointer).

This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:15.

What is our Metz vs Nantes prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Metz 1 - 1 Nantes

Metz vs Nantes Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Matthis Abline @ 175 Odds
First Goalscorer: Matthis Abline @ 500 Odds
To be Booked: Moustapha Diop @ 187 Odds
Asian Handicap: Metz +0.5 @ -182 Odds
European Handicap: Nantes +1 @ -138 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -188 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
Clean Sheet: Nantes - No @ -275 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Metz vs Nantes?

You can place your bets on Metz vs Nantes at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Metz Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llldllllld	0.20
Home	ldlll	0.20
Away	lllld	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.80	2.00
Scored	0.70	1.20	0.20
Conceded	2.20	2.60	1.80
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	60%	40%	80%
Expected Goals	1.14	1.66	0.63
Expected Goals Against	1.78	1.42	2.13

Nantes Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlllllwlll	0.40
Home	dlllwll	0.57
Away	lll	0.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	14%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.71	2.67
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.67
Conceded	1.80	1.71	2.00
BTTS	60%	57%	67%
Clean Sheets	10%	14%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	29%	33%
Expected Goals	1.28	1.44	0.92
Expected Goals Against	1.16	1.15	1.20