Monaco and Marseille meet in a high-stakes Ligue 1 derby, with both sides pushing for a Champions League berth. With Monaco finding their best form of late, we predict a 2-1 home win. Les Rouges et Blancs head into the match in excellent form, winning four straight and averaging 2.00 points per game across their last 10 outings. Their attack remains the key strength, scoring 2.00 goals per match and posting 1.24 xG at home, while conceding just 1.00 goal on average at Stade Louis-II. With no fresh injury worries after beating Lyon 2-1, the hosts look well-balanced and confident.
Marseille, on the other hand, will be without key forward Mason Greenwood, who picked up an injury in the 2-1 defeat to Lille. Their away form is concerning, with only 1.00 point per game and just 0.75 goals scored on the road. Defensive issues persist too, conceding 2.25 goals per away match, which could be problematic against Monaco’s pace and vertical play. Still, OM have produced 1.44 xG away, showing they can threaten if chances fall their way.
Given Monaco's better form and Greenwood's absence for Marseille, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Ligue 1 derby, alongside Monaco Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both averaging 3+ total goals per match).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Monaco vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
Monaco vs Marseille Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Folarin Balogun @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Monaco 0 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Marseille +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Monaco to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Monaco to Win/Monaco to Win @ 220 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Monaco - No @ -350 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Monaco vs Marseille?
You can place your bets on Monaco vs Marseille at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferMonaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwlwdwwww | 2.00 |
| Home | wlww | 2.25 |
| Away | ldwdww | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.25 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.25 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.82 | 1.67 | 1.92 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldlwdwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wdwdwl | 1.83 |
| Away | dllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.25 | 1.43 |
Monaco vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Monaco (47%)
30 Matches
Marseille (30%)
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