Paris FC head into this local derby against PSG after a 2-1 defeat to Rennes, with their season effectively winding down. As both sides should be happy with one point from Sunday's showdown, we predict a 2-2 draw. Les Bless have shown decent attacking output recently, averaging 1.80 goals per game across their last ten matches and 2.40 at home, where they also win 80% of their games. Overall form is fairly solid with 1.80 points per game, but inconsistency remains an issue, especially against stronger opposition. Defensively, they concede 0.90 per match, though BTTS has landed in 60% of their recent fixtures. Forward Willem Geubbels is a doubt, which could reduce their attacking threat.
PSG head into the local derby as newly crowned Ligue 1 champions, looking to finish the season in style after a dominant campaign averaging 2.30 points per game. Luis Enrique's men remain strong offensively with 2.30 goals per match and have lost just once in their last ten. Even with key absentees including Hakimi and Zaire-Emery, their depth remains elite, with 70% win rate and 50% clean sheets. Willian Pacho's injury (centre-back) goes in favour of our main betting tip.
As PSG average 3.3 goals per game overall, but often conceded against Paris FC, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Paris FC vs PSG prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Paris FC 2 - 2 PSG
Paris FC vs PSG Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ -120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Pierre Lees-Melou @ 350 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Paris FC +1.5 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Paris FC +2 @ -150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -550 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 750 Odds
- Clean Sheet: PSG - No @ -275 Odds
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View OfferParis FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwdwwlwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | dddwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.49 |
PSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwwddw | 2.30 |
| Home | wwlwwdw | 2.29 |
| Away | wwd | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.71 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.43 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.29 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.00 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.85 | 1.65 |
Paris FC vs PSG Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Paris FC (33%)
3 Matches
PSG (67%)
Paris FC vs PSG Past Results
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