What is our PSG vs Metz prediction?
PSG
4 - 0
Metz
Our prediction for this match: PSG 4 - 0 Metz
PSG vs Metz Preview
PSG will be eager to reclaim top spot in Ligue 1 as they host bottom-placed Metz, with 4-0 our predicted outcome. Les Parisiens come off a mixed patch (dwwlw) and will be without Ousmane Dembele after his fallout with Luis Enrique, while Fabian Ruiz and Mayulu remain sidelined. Despite this, PSG’s home form is solid, averaging 1.60 points per game, scoring 2.20 goals per home match, and keeping 40% clean sheets. Their attack is backed by an xG of 2.22, showing plenty of goal-scoring potential.
Metz travel to "the City of Lights" after a 3-1 loss to Auxerre, and their struggles continue: just 0.50 points per game overall, with heavy defeats at home (0.20 PPG) and a leaky defense conceding 3 goals per home match. Away form is slightly better, but PSG’s dominance in H2H is clear: 14 straight wins, with 79% of matches over 2.5 goals.
Given PSG's 100% H2H dominance and need for points, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on PSG -2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 20:05.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sat 21 Feb 2026, 20:05UK time
PSG vs Metz Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: PSG 4-0 Metz | 17/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/12 | |
| Draw No Bet: PSG | 1/20 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: PSG / PSG | 8/15 | |
| Asian Handicap: PSG -2 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: PSG -1 | 4/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele | 4/7 | |
| First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele | 3/1 | |
| To be Booked: Moustapha Diop | 12/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| PSG Clean Sheet: Yes | 5/6 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferPSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwlwdwwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | dlwdw | 1.60 |
| Away | lwwlw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.31 | 2.22 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.03 |
Metz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdlllldl | 0.50 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.63 |
PSG vs Metz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSG (100%)
14 Matches
Metz (0%)
PSG vs Metz Past Results
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