What is our PSG vs Monaco prediction?
PSG
3 - 1
Monaco
Our prediction for this match: PSG 3 - 1 Monaco
PSG vs Monaco Preview
There will be fireworks when PSG and Monaco lock horns in this Ligue 1 derby, with both sides having plenty of attacking quality to settle this highly-anticipated contest. PSG are desperate to claim their first league win of the campaign after a dramatic 2-2 comeback draw with Lille. The Parisians traditionally raise their level against top-table opposition, and their home numbers remain encouraging, with a 50% win rate and 0.75 goals conceded per game across their last four matches. Nuno Mendes is suspended, while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is pushing for a start after appearing from the bench against Lille.
Monaco, meanwhile, arrive in confident mood following a 2-0 victory over Marseille. They have won 70% of their last 10 matches, scoring an impressive 2.10 goals per game, while their away fixtures have averaged three goals. Florin Balogun has left the club, meaning Paris Brunner could be the man to watch after his brace against Marseille. The H2H record favours PSG, who have won 18 of 39 meetings, although Monaco have enough firepower to make this a close encounter.
Lille suit PSG that usually perform at their best against strong opposition. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting pick for this Ligue 1 derby, alongside PSG Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Monaco’s last 10 games average 3.40 goals).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday, 4 September 2026 at 20:05.
- League
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Fri 4 Sep 2026, 20:05UK time
PSG vs Monaco Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: PSG 3-1 Monaco | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: PSG | 1/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: PSG / PSG | 5/6 | |
| Asian Handicap: PSG -1 | 9/20 | |
| European Handicap: PSG -1 | 5/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 5/6 | |
| First Goalscorer: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Alexandr Golovin | 12/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| PSG Clean Sheet: No | 4/9 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferPSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwldldwldd | 1.30 |
| Home | wddw | 2.00 |
| Away | wllldd | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.75 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.16 | 1.53 |
Monaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwlwwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | lwlww | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.00 | 1.64 |
PSG vs Monaco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSG (46%)
39 Matches
Monaco (26%)
PSG vs Monaco Past Results
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