PSG aim to protect their position at the top of Ligue 1, with Lens still pushing hard behind them. As Toulouse suit the reigning champions, we predict a 3-1 home win. Luis Enrique’s side continue to look strong at home, winning 60% of their recent matches at the Parc des Princes and scoring an impressive 3.20 goals per home game. Korea midfielder Kang-In Lee is fit again, adding creativity between the lines, but Senny Mayulu remains unavailable. PSG’s attack has been explosive lately, averaging 2.80 goals per match across their last 10, and their xG of 2.17 suggests those numbers are sustainable.
Toulouse travel to the City of Lights in ninth place and full of confidence after a gritty 1-0 win over Lorient, though defender Djibril Sidibe is likely to miss out. Their away form has been inconsistent, taking just 0.80 points per game, but les Pitchouns do pose threats in transition, scoring 1.40 goals per away match. Defensively, however, they struggle on the road, conceding 1.80. History is also against them: PSG have won 25 of the last 31 meetings.
Given PSG's fine home scoring numbers and dominant H2H, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, with additional value on PSG -1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (les Parisiens average 4.60 total goals in home games).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our PSG vs Toulouse prediction?
Our prediction for this match: PSG 3 - 1 Toulouse
PSG vs Toulouse Betting Tips
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 105 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ -138 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Dayann Methalie @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Toulouse +2.5 @ -1000 Odds
- European Handicap: Toulouse +3 @ -1200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lens to Win @ -300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lens - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on PSG vs Toulouse?
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View OfferPSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwdwlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.17 | 2.09 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.98 | 1.20 |
Toulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlldldlww | 1.20 |
| Home | dwdlw | 1.60 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.03 | 0.80 | 1.26 |
PSG vs Toulouse Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSG (81%)
31 Matches
Toulouse (10%)
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