All eyes will be on Stade Geoffroy-Guichard when St. Etienne and Nice square off in the first leg of the Ligue 1 relegation playoffs final. As both teams are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Tuesday's game, we predict a 1-1 draw. Les Verts booked their place in the final by eliminating Rodez on penalties, but the victory came at a heavy cost. First-choice goalkeeper Gauthier Larsonneur, defender Julien Le Cardinal, and midfielder Luan Gadegbeku all suffered injuries and are set to miss this clash. Despite the absences, St. Etienne have been tough to beat at home lately, winning four of their last six matches at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard while conceding only 0.67 goals per game on home soil.
Nice, meanwhile, head into the encounter after a disappointing 3-1 loss to Lens in the Coupe de France final. Claude Puel’s men have struggled for consistency, recording only one win from their last ten matches in all competitions. Still, Nice boast a strong head-to-head record against St. Etienne, winning 15 of the previous 28 meetings between the sides. Midfielder Morgan Sanson is pushing for a start.
As both teams have looked unconvincing in attack recently, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 19:45.
What is our St Etienne vs Nice prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Etienne 1 - 1 Nice
St Etienne vs Nice Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
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View OfferSt Etienne Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdwlllwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwlwd | 2.17 |
| Away | ddll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.83 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.67 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.95 | 1.30 |
Nice Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llddwddldl | 0.80 |
| Home | lddd | 0.75 |
| Away | ldwdll | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.32 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.72 |
St Etienne vs Nice Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Etienne (29%)
28 Matches
Nice (54%)
