Toulouse head into Saturday's game boosted by their dramatic 4-3 victory over Metz, proving they can still produce goals despite a long injury list including Cresswell, Casseres, Magri, Messali and Methalie. As Lorient are capable of finding the net as well, we predict a 2-2 draw. Les Pitchouns' recent numbers remain inconsistent, however. Toulouse average only 1.25 points per home game, score 0.50 goals per home match, and fail to score in 50% of their home outings. Yet their xG at home sits at a promising 1.80, indicating that wastefulness—not chance creation—is the main issue.
Les Merlus, on the other hand, travel full of confidence after stunning title contenders Lens 2-1. Their overall form is strong (1.90 points per game), with 50% clean sheets and 1.60 goals scored per match across their last ten. Lorient’s attack also travels well, averaging 1.50 goals away, although they concede at the same rate. Defensively they remain vulnerable on the road, but their recent momentum gives them a competitive edge.
As both sides average 1.50+ goals conceded in their away/home splits, Over 1.5 goals seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals (Toulouse matches average 2.20 goals, Lorient’s 2.60, and recent momentum suggests an open game).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:00.
What is our Toulouse vs Lorient prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toulouse 2 - 2 Lorient
Toulouse vs Lorient Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1400 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Frank Magri @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Frank Magri @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Igor Carioca @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lorient +1 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Lorient +1 @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -111 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Toulouse to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Toulouse - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Toulouse vs Lorient?
You can place your bets on Toulouse vs Lorient at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferToulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlldldlw | 1.20 |
| Home | dwdl | 1.25 |
| Away | wllldw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.80 | 1.28 |
Lorient Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwddddw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwddw | 2.33 |
| Away | wldd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.31 | 1.69 |
Toulouse vs Lorient Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toulouse (33%)
21 Matches
Lorient (24%)
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