Toulouse welcome Lyon in a clash where motivation clearly favours the visitors, who are pushing hard for a Champions League spot. As les Gones look unstoppable at the moment, we predict a 1-0 away triumph. Les Pitchouns come into the match after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Strasbourg, but their overall form remains inconsistent. Defensive issues are a major concern, with 2.30 goals conceded per game and just one clean sheet in ten. The possible absence of Alexis Vossah further weakens their midfield stability, and their home scoring record (0.75 goals per game) is underwhelming.
Lyon, on the other hand, are one of the form teams in the league, riding a four-game winning streak. Despite Tyler Morton being doubtful, they look far more balanced, especially defensively, conceding just 0.50 goals per game away from home. Historically, they also dominate this fixture, winning 63% of meetings, which definitely supports our betting angle.
Given Lyon's excellent form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Lyon to Score First and Under 3.5 goals (Lyon’s defensive solidity away).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Toulouse vs Lyon prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toulouse 0 - 1 Lyon
Toulouse vs Lyon Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 333 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Roman Yaremchuk @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Roman Yaremchuk @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Charlie Cresswell @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lyon -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: Toulouse +2 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Lyon to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Lyon to Win/Lyon to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Lyon - Yes @ 175 Odds
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View OfferToulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwlllldw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwld | 1.00 |
| Away | dwlllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 2.50 | 4.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.67 |
| BTTS | 70% | 25% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.77 | 1.18 | 2.17 |
Lyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dddlldwwww | 1.60 |
| Home | dllwww | 1.67 |
| Away | dddw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.33 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.47 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.30 |
Toulouse vs Lyon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toulouse (17%)
30 Matches
Lyon (63%)
