Arouca return home aiming to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 loss to Braga, but with less pressure as they are relatively safe. As Estrela are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. Arouca's form has been solid overall (1.50 PPG), and they are particularly strong at home, winning 75% of matches while averaging an impressive 2.50 goals scored per game. The return of goalkeeper Ignacio De Arruabarrena adds further stability to a side already capable of controlling games on home soil.
Estrela da Amadora, meanwhile, are under much greater pressure, sitting just three points above the relegation zone after a 1-0 loss to Sporting. Their away form is a major concern, with no wins in recent matches (0.40 PPG) and just 0.60 goals scored per game. The absence of forward Jefferson Encada further weakens their already limited attacking threat.
Given Arouca's excellent home record (75% win rate) and a struggling away side, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals markets boast big value as Arouca home games average 4.00 total goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Arouca vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 2 - 1 Estrela
Arouca vs Estrela Betting Tips
- European Handicap: FC Arouca +1 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Arouca vs Estrela?
You can place your bets on Arouca vs Estrela at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlllwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | wlllwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.69 | 1.20 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllddlwll | 0.90 |
| Home | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Away | dldll | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.61 |
Arouca vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (40%)
5 Matches
Estrela (40%)
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