Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

9 March 2026

20:15

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Tondela and Rio Ave meet in a crucial clash at the bottom of the table, with both teams desperate for points to avoid the drop. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, we predict a 2-1 home win. Tondela come in with a draw at Santa Clara (2-2) and an inconsistent run of dddwd in the last 5 matches. Home form is poor, with only 1 win in the last 6 home ma ... Read More...

This match will be played on 9 March 2026 at 20:15

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

8 March 2026

20:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Santa Clara will try to climb out of the relegation zone when they face Vitoria Guimaraes on Sunday. Nonetheless, our prediction points toward a 1-0 away win as Os Acorianos have been struggling at home of late. Petit's men return to action with defender Frederico Venancio back from suspension, but the team has been struggling this season, with 0 wins in their last 5 matches ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 March 2026 at 20:30

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

8 March 2026

18:00

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Porto

Porto

Sparkles will be flying when Benfica and Porto lock horns in the Primeira Liga derby on Sunday evening. As Benfica have found their best form of late, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 home win. The Eagles are not enjoying a season to remember, but their four-game winning run is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Porto’s visit. With Jose Mourinho’s men con ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 March 2026 at 18:00

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

8 March 2026

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Estrela will aim to bounce back after failing to capitalize on their dominance in a 0-0 draw with AFS. However, we predict a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente that seem to be more consistent. Both van Hooijdonk and Encada picked up injuries for Os Tricolores at the weekend, which could limit attacking options. Estrela sit mid-table in 12th place, averaging 2.80 goals per game, but the ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 March 2026 at 15:30

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

20:30

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Estoril Praia will look to return to winning ways when they host Casa Pia after suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sporting CP at the weekend. Given their fine home record, we predict a 2-1 win for Os Canarinhos. Despite that loss, Estoril have been impressive overall, collecting 1.90 points per game and winning 60% of their matches. Ian Cathro's troops are particularly strong ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 20:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

18:00

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Sporting

Sporting

Braga welcome title contenders Sporting CP to the Estadio Municipal in what promises to be one of the standout matches of the Primeira Liga round, with 2-2 our predicted outcome. The Reds come into this clash full of confidence after a 2-1 victory over Nacional, with their recent form reading four wins in the last five matches (2.20 PPG). The hosts have been particularly imp ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 18:00

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

15:30

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Nacional

Nacional

Moreirense welcome Nacional looking to bounce back after a 1-1 draw with Casa Pia. Given Nacional's struggles on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. The hosts have been relatively solid this season, averaging 1.40 points per game overall and 1.50 points per game at home, where they have a 50% win rate. However, they could be without important forward Yan Maranhao, who remai ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 15:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

15:30

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AFS

AFS

Alverca welcome AFS in a clash where the hosts will be eager to capitalize on the visitors’ struggles at the bottom of the table. AS AFS are having a season to forget, we predict a 3-0 home win. Custodio Castro's men played out a 1-1 draw with Vitoria Guimaraes last time out and have been fairly solid at home this season. They average 1.60 points per game at home, with a 4 ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 15:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

6 March 2026

20:15

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Arouca

Arouca

Famalicao and Arouca face each other in what should be a closely contested Primeira Liga encounter, with 2-1 our predicted outcome. The hosts shared the spoils in a goalless draw with Rio Ave last time out, but they have been much stronger at home lately. Famalicao average 2.25 points per game on home soil and boast a 75% win rate there. Their attack has been far more produc ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 March 2026 at 20:15

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.19
Total (Combined) 2.68
33.5 min/Goal (821 Goals in 306 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (179 times out of 306 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (147 times out of 306 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.74
Shots / Match (Away) 11.4
Fouls Per Match 27.44
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.82
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.63
Offsides Per Match 3.14
Players Participated 644

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66 18 +48 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89 24 +65 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74 25 +49 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64 36 +28 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42 29 +13 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47 38 +9 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense FC 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12 43 WLWLD
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12 42 WWLLL
9 FC Arouca 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17 42 WLDWW
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17 39 LWLDL
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9 36 DWDWL
13 Rio Ave FC 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22 36 DLDLD
14 CD Nacional 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26 30 LLLWD
17 CD Tondela 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40 21 DDWWD

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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