Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

2 March 2026

20:15

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Benfica

Benfica

Gil Vicente welcome Benfica on Monday aiming to bounce back from their 3-1 defeat to Estoril, but they will be without suspended defender Marvin Elimbi. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 win for Jose Mourinho's troops. Os Galos' home form offers encouragement: they average 2.20 points per game, scoring 2.40 goals per match in Barcelos and producing 1.94 xG. Gil are remarkably cons ... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 March 2026 at 20:15

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Rio Ave return home after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Porto, but their form remains deeply concerning. However, we predict that they will hold Famalicao to a 1-1 draw as the visitors are hit by suspensions. Os Rioavistas have lost five matches in a row, averaging only 0.40 points per game and failing to score in 70% of their league outings. Even at home, their output is modest: 0 ... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 20:30

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

18:00

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Casa Pia aim to respond after a 2-0 defeat to Famalicao, but they face a setback as forward Korede Osundina limped off injured. Therefore, we predict that Os Gansos will play out a 1-1 draw with Moreirense on Matchday 24. The hosts remain solid at home, averaging 1.60 points per match, scoring 1.80 goals per game, and producing 1.16 xG at their own ground. Casa Pia also tend ... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 18:00

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Tondela will look to build on a 2–0 win over Estrela when they face Santa Clara on Saturday, though the hosts face notable absences. Despite this setback, we predict a 1-0 home win as Santa Clara do not seem to be at their sharpest. Sithole and Cicero are both suspended for the hosts, while forward Makan Aiko is likely to miss out through injury, reducing attacking depth. ... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 15:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Vitoria Guimaraes aim to bounce back from their narrow 3–2 defeat to Braga, and despite the loss, they remain strong favourites here, with 2-0 our predicted outcome. The hosts are almost at full strength, with defender Oscar Rivas Viondi the only absentee, which keeps their structure mostly intact. Their home numbers are excellent: 2.40 points per game, 80% home win rate, ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 20:30

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

18:00

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Braga

Braga

Nacional head into Saturday's clash under pressure, sitting near the bottom with just 0.90 points per game overall and only 20% wins. Therefore our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Nacional's home form is better (1.60 PPG), but the hosts suffer a major blow as key defender Ze Vítor is suspended, weakening a back line that already concedes 1.40 goals per match. Nacion ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 18:00

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

28 February 2026

15:30

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Estrela

Estrela

AFS remain stuck at the bottom of the table with just 8 points, and their struggles continue ahead of this crucial home clash with Estrela. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-0 away win. The hosts enter the match in poor form, taking only 0.50 points per game overall, and their defensive problems are reflected in the 2.30 goals conceded per match. The absence ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 February 2026 at 15:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

27 February 2026

20:45

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Estoril

Estoril

Sporting CP look to keep pressure on league leaders Porto as they host an improving Estoril side in Lisbon. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, our prediction leans toward a 3-1 home win. The Lions enter this clash in excellent form, taking 2.50 points per game overall and winning all their home matches this season. Amorim, however, cannot count on Debast an ... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 February 2026 at 20:45

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

27 February 2026

18:45

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Arouca

Arouca

Porto continue their push at the top of the table as they take on Arouca on Matchday 24. As Estoril are hit by suspensions, our prediction firmly points toward a routine 3-0 home win. The Dragons will be without banned midfielder Alan Varela, while Fernandes, Kiwior, Samu, and Perez remain sidelined through injury. Even so, Farioli’s squad depth has kept performances stabl ... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 February 2026 at 18:45

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.19
Total (Combined) 2.68
33.5 min/Goal (821 Goals in 306 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (179 times out of 306 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (147 times out of 306 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.74
Shots / Match (Away) 11.4
Fouls Per Match 27.44
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.82
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.63
Offsides Per Match 3.14
Players Participated 644

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66 18 +48 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89 24 +65 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74 25 +49 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64 36 +28 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42 29 +13 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47 38 +9 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense FC 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12 43 WLWLD
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12 42 WWLLL
9 FC Arouca 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17 42 WLDWW
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17 39 LWLDL
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9 36 DWDWL
13 Rio Ave FC 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22 36 DLDLD
14 CD Nacional 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26 30 LLLWD
17 CD Tondela 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40 21 DDWWD

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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