Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

3 April 2026

18:00

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Tondela

Tondela

Vitoria Guimaraes will be looking to make amends for a heavy 3–0 defeat to Benfica when they face Tondela on Friday evening. As Tondela failed to impress in a goalless draw with AFS, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite poor overall form, Luis Pinto's men have been more competitive at home, picking up 1.40 points per game and conceding just 1.00 goal on average. Their underl... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 April 2026 at 18:00

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

3 April 2026

15:30

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AFS

AFS

Gil Vicente return home aiming to respond to a 1–0 loss to Santa Clara, though injuries to Bamba and Mutombo are a concern. Anyhow, we predict a routine 3-0 home win as AFS are with one foot in the Portuguese second tier. Os Galos' home form is solid (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 goals scored and 3.60 total goals per match. With a 60% home win rate and 1.63 xG, they consistently... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 April 2026 at 15:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

22 March 2026

20:30

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Porto

Porto

Braga continue their push for a top-four finish as they welcome rivals Porto in one of the standout fixtures of the round. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach in Sunday's derby, we predict a 2-2 draw. The Reds are unbeaten in last ten home games in all competitions. averaging an impressive 3.40 goals per home game and keeping 60% clean sheets at the Q... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 March 2026 at 20:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-3

Match Time & Date:

22 March 2026

18:00

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Sporting

Sporting

Alverca’s alarming eight-match winless run in the Primeira Liga puts them under pressure as they welcome a high-flying Sporting side. However, we predict a 3-1 away win as Sporting are brimming with confidence following an amazing Champions League win over Bodo. The hosts remain competitive at home (1.80 PPG across their last five) but continue to struggle in both boxes, s... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 March 2026 at 18:00

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

22 March 2026

15:30

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Estoril welcome Rio Ave in a matchup between two sides moving in different directions. As Os Rioavistas continue to struggle on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win. Os Canarinhos have taken 17 points from their last 10 matches (1.70 PPG) and come into this clash after a narrow 1-0 win over Nacional. Their attacking numbers remain solid, averaging 2.00 goals scored per gam... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 March 2026 at 15:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

21 March 2026

20:30

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AFS

AFS

Tondela return home aiming to respond after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Rio Ave. As Tondela will not have a better chance than this to return to winning ways, we predict a 3-1 home win. Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful, but there are no new injury issues. Their recent form is mixed, collecting 1.00 points per game across the last 10 matches. At home, Tondela average 2.00 total g... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 March 2026 at 20:30

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

21 March 2026

18:00

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Santa Clara head into this clash boosted by a narrow 1-0 win over rock-bottom AFS, but inconsistency still defines their campaign. As both Santa Clara and Gil Vicente are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, our prediction leans toward a 2-2 draw. Os Acorianos average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across their last 10 matches, with a modest 20% win rate overall. ... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 March 2026 at 18:00

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

21 March 2026

18:00

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Benfica return to the Estadio da Luz aiming to consolidate their strong recent form, having collected 2.00 points per game across their last 10 matches. As Vitoria Guimaraes suit Benfica, our prediction firmly points toward 2-1 home win. Mourinho’s side score freely at home, averaging 2.20 goals, and their xG of 2.36 at this venue shows they consistently create high-qualit... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 March 2026 at 18:00

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

21 March 2026

15:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Moreirense and Arouca meet on Saturday in a matchup between two sides searching for consistency. As both sides are capable of finding the net, we predict a 1-1 draw. Moreirense arrive after a 1-1 draw with Casa Pia and remain without midfielder Vasco Sousa, while doubts linger over Yan Maranhao and Landerson for the visitors. The hosts have been unpredictable recently, takin... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 March 2026 at 15:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
10 May 2026 • 21:25 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Casa PiaCasa PiaRio AveRio Ave17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
PortoPortoSanta ClaraSanta Clara17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseAFSAFS17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
NacionalNacionalGuimaraesGuimaraes17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.49
Away Teams 1.2
Total (Combined) 2.69
33.4 min/Goal (800 Goals in 297 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (173 times out of 297 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (143 times out of 297 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.71
Shots / Match (Away) 11.44
Fouls Per Match 27.56
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.86
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.69
Offsides Per Match 3.12
Players Participated 640

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65 18 +47 85 WWWWL
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 86 24 +62 79 LDDWW
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 71 24 +47 77 WWWDD
4 Sporting Braga 33 16 10 7 62 34 +28 58 DWLDD
5 Famalicão 33 14 11 8 41 29 +12 53 DDWDD
6 Gil Vicente 33 13 11 9 47 35 +12 50 DLWDL
7 Vitória Guimarães 33 12 6 15 39 49 -10 42 DWWLL
8 Moreirense FC 33 12 6 15 37 49 -12 42 DWLWL
9 GD Estoril Praia 33 10 9 14 53 54 -1 39 LLLDD
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35 51 -16 39 WLWLD
11 FC Arouca 33 11 6 16 44 63 -19 39 LWLDW
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 32 40 -8 36 LDWDW
13 Rio Ave FC 33 8 11 14 34 56 -22 35 WDLDL
14 CD Nacional 33 8 7 18 35 45 -10 31 LWWLL
15 Estrela Amadora 33 6 11 16 36 54 -18 29 LLLLD
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 30 56 -26 29 DLLLW
17 CD Tondela 33 6 10 17 26 52 -26 28 LLDWW
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27 67 -40 20 DDDWW

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
10/05/2026, 17:00 AVS 3 - 1 Porto
10/05/2026, 19:30 Alverca 1 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 3 FC Arouca
11/05/2026, 19:15 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Braga
11/05/2026, 19:15 Vitória Guimarães 0 - 1 Casa Pia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Rio Ave FC 1 - 4 Sporting CP
11/05/2026, 19:15 Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Famalicão
11/05/2026, 19:15 CD Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense FC
11/05/2026, 19:15 Santa Clara 2 - 0 CD Nacional

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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