Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

20:45

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Estrela

Estrela

Porto host Estrela in a Primeira Liga round 14 clash where the Portuguese giants look strong on paper despite injury absences. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a routine 2-0 home win. Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are sidelined, but coach Francesco Farioli still has the core of his squad available and the Dragons have been excellent this season, averaging 2.20 points p... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 20:45

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

18:45

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Braga look well-placed to extend their excellent run as they host Santa Clara and we predict that they will do so with a routine 3-1 win. The Reds have collected 2.20 points per game overall and an impressive 2.50 PPG at home, winning 83% of their matches on home soil. Their attack is firing at a high level, averaging 3.33 goals per home match and scoring in every league out... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 18:45

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Arouca are desperate to put an end to their six-game losing run in all competitions, but given their important absentees, we predict a 2-1 away win. Arouca host Alverca in a match that pits struggling hosts against in-form visitors. Os Lobos do not seem to be at their sharpest, having picked up just 0.7 points per game this season. Their home form is particularly poor, manag... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 20:30

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

Moreirense are eager to put an end to their three-game winless run, but with Benfica brimming with confidence following a 2-0 Champions League win over Napoli, we predict a 2-1 away win. The hosts will be without key midfielder Alanzinho, whose absence weakens their ball progression in central areas. Even with that setback, Moreirense have been involved in high-event games t... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 18:00

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

14 December 2025

15:30

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Estoril

Estoril

Famalicao host Estoril in a matchup that could see a tight contest, with 1-0 being our predicted outcome. Os Azuis e Brancos have been solid at home this season, though inconsistent overall, collecting 1.6 points per game with a 40% win rate. They average 1.3 goals per match and concede just 0.8, boasting a 50% clean sheet record at home. Forward Oscar Aranda remains out lon... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 December 2025 at 15:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

19:30

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AFS

AFS

Sporting return to league action after a spirited Champions League performance in their 1–3 loss to Bayern. Therefore, we predict that they will record a 3-0 win over AFS on Matchday 14. Even with several important absentees—Quenda, Trincão, Bragança and Gonçalves—they remain strong favourites thanks to outstanding home form. Sporting boast a perfect 100% home win r... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 19:30

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

18:00

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Rio Ave aim to build on a 2-1 win over AFS, but given their negative H2H record against Vitoria Guimaraes, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 away win. Os Rioavistas welcome Vitoria Guimaraes in a match that could be important for both sides. The hosts have been inconsistent, earning 1.3 points per game this season, with a 30% win rate and averaging 1.2 goals scored per match... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

15:30

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Tondela

Tondela

Nacional host Tondela in what promises to be a tightly contested clash, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Os Alvinegros have struggled recently, averaging just 1.1 points per game with only a 30% win rate this season. Their attack produces 1.3 goals per match, but defensive problems see them concede 1.5 on average. Potential absences of key players Joao Aurelio and Pablo Ruan ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 15:30

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

13 December 2025

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Casa Pia host Gil Vicente in a clash that could be tight at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with our prediction pointing toward a hard-fought 1-0 away win. The home side have struggled this season, earning just 0.9 points per game and failing to win at home so far. Casa Pia average 1.5 goals per match but concede 1.9, keeping clean sheets in only 20% of fixtures. Their a... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 December 2025 at 15:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
21 February 2026 • 19:23 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
PortoPortoAroucaArouca27/02/2026, 18:45
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
SportingSportingEstorilEstoril27/02/2026, 20:45
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AFSAFSEstrelaEstrela28/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
NacionalNacionalBragaBraga28/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
GuimaraesGuimaraesAlvercaAlverca28/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
TondelaTondelaSanta ClaraSanta Clara01/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Casa PiaCasa PiaMoreirenseMoreirense01/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Rio AveRio AveFamalicaoFamalicao01/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Gil VicenteGil VicenteBenficaBenfica02/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.53
Away Teams 1.24
Total (Combined) 2.77
32.5 min/Goal (573 Goals in 207 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (123 times out of 207 matches)
46% Both Teams Scored (95 times out of 207 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 43%
Draw 24%
Away Win 33%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 5%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 44%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 88%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.12
Shots / Match (Home) 12.64
Shots / Match (Away) 11.48
Fouls Per Match 27.85
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.85
Fouls / Match (Away) 14
Offsides Per Match 3.24
Players Participated 609

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 23 20 2 1 44 7 +37 62 WLDWW
2 Sporting CP 23 18 4 1 59 12 +47 58 WWDWW
3 Benfica 23 16 7 0 49 13 +36 55 WDWWW
4 Sporting Braga 23 12 6 5 48 22 +26 42 WWWLW
5 Gil Vicente 23 11 7 5 34 21 +13 40 LWWWL
6 Famalicão 23 10 5 8 29 21 +8 35 WLWLW
7 GD Estoril Praia 23 9 6 8 46 39 +7 33 WWDLW
8 Moreirense FC 23 10 3 10 29 33 -4 33 WLLWL
9 Vitória Guimarães 23 9 4 10 27 34 -7 31 LWLWL
10 Alverca 23 7 5 11 23 38 -15 26 LDLDD
11 FC Arouca 23 7 5 11 31 49 -18 26 LWWLW
12 Estrela Amadora 23 5 8 10 26 41 -15 23 LDWLL
13 Casa Pia 23 5 7 11 25 43 -18 22 DWDWL
14 CD Nacional 23 5 6 12 27 34 -7 21 WLDLL
15 Rio Ave FC 23 4 8 11 23 44 -21 20 LLLLL
16 Santa Clara 23 4 6 13 18 29 -11 18 LLLLD
17 CD Tondela 23 4 6 13 17 36 -19 18 LDDDW
18 AVS 23 1 5 17 18 57 -39 8 DLLWL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
20/02/2026, 20:45 Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 CD Tondela
21/02/2026, 15:30 FC Arouca 3 - 0 CD Nacional
21/02/2026, 15:30 Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
21/02/2026, 18:00 Benfica 3 - 0 AVS
21/02/2026, 18:00 Moreirense FC 0 - 3 Sporting CP
21/02/2026, 20:30 Sporting Braga 3 - 2 Vitória Guimarães
22/02/2026, 18:00 GD Estoril Praia 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
22/02/2026, 20:30 Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave FC
23/02/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 2 - 0 Casa Pia

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto - FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP - GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS - Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional - Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães - Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela - Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia - Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC - Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente - Benfica

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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