Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

8 December 2025

20:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Guimaraes are brimming with confidence following a thrilling 4-0 win over AFS and given their fine record against Gil Vicente at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, we predict a routine 2-0 home triumph. Guimaraes have been showing signs of improvement of late, with the team climbing to 8th place thanks to back-to-back wins over Tondela and AFS. As Luis Pinto’s men have been scor... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 December 2025 at 20:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

7 December 2025

20:30

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Porto

Porto

Following a 1-0 win over Gil Vicente, Tondela will try to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 13, but given their negative record against Porto, we predict a 2-1 win for the Dragons. Os Auriverdes defended well in the triumph over Os Galos, but they will have a much bigger fish to fry against the title hopefuls. Their expected goals against at home of 1.71 is not ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 December 2025 at 20:30

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 December 2025

18:00

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Arouca

Arouca

After failing to spoil Sporting’s party at Estadio Jose Alvalade, Estrela aim to get back on course in Primeira Liga. Given Arouca’s dreadful losing run, we predict that the hosts will do so with a 2-1 win over Vasco Seabra’s troops. Os Tricolores have managed just one home victory this season, and notably, 60% of their last 5 outings in front of home fans have seen bo... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 December 2025 at 18:00

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

7 December 2025

18:00

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Nacional

Nacional

Alverca and Nacional meet in what promises to be another evenly-matched Primeira Liga contest, with our prediction leaning toward a 2-2 draw. Custodio Castro's troops are tough to beat at home, averaging 1.75 points per game at home, winning half of their matches and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their home games are usually lower-scoring (2.25 goals per match) compared to their... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 December 2025 at 18:00

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 December 2025

15:30

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Estoril and Moreirense face each other at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota in what promises to be a close 2-1 home win. The hosts will be without important midfielder Jordan Holsgrove, but they have enough strength in depth to fill the gap. The Canaries have produced identical returns across all venues (1.40 points per game), but their home matches tend to be lively, averagin... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 December 2025 at 15:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

6 December 2025

20:30

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Braga

Braga

Braga are brimming with confidence following a thrilling 4-0 win over Arouca, but given Famalicao’s fine form, we believe that there is a big value in betting on a 1-1 draw. Famalicao have suffered only one loss in the last 7 Primeira Liga games, with the team netting 1.50 goals per match at home ground. Oscar Aranda remains in the recovery room, but there are no fresh inj... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 December 2025 at 20:30

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

6 December 2025

18:00

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

AFS take on Rio Ave on Matchday 14 in what is expected to be a tight 2-1 away win due to Os Rioavistas' fine displays on the road. AFS’ season has been defined by narrow margins and attacking inefficiency, reflected in just a 10% win rate and a high 50% failure-to-score rate. Their home performances offer slightly more stability, yet they still concede 1.80 goals per game ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 December 2025 at 18:00

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

6 December 2025

15:30

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Santa Clara return to action aiming to build on their strong home form and given Casa Pia's three-game winless run on the road, a 2-1 home win is on the cards. The Azoreans remain inconsistent overall, but their defensive numbers at home (1.00 conceded on average) offer stability. Forward Brenner is rated doubtful, though he is not a first-team regular, so his absence would ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 December 2025 at 15:30

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

5 December 2025

20:15

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Sporting

Sporting

Benfica will look to extend their winning run to four games when they face Sporting in the Lisbon derby, but with the Lions looking strong at the moment as well, there is big value in betting on 2-2 draw. The Eagles came from behind to beat Nacional 2-1 at the weekend, with the team regaining a much-needed confidence. As Jose Mourinho’s men have been scoring 2.5 goals per ... Read More...

This match will be played on 5 December 2025 at 20:15

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 February 2026 • 10:02 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
NacionalNacionalPortoPorto15/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSEstorilEstoril15/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
SportingSportingFamalicaoFamalicao15/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Rio AveRio AveMoreirenseMoreirense16/02/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstrelaEstrelaTondelaTondela20/02/2026, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
AlvercaAlvercaSanta ClaraSanta Clara21/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
AroucaAroucaNacionalNacional21/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BenficaBenficaAFSAFS21/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseSportingSporting21/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
BragaBragaGuimaraesGuimaraes21/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilGil VicenteGil Vicente22/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
PortoPortoRio AveRio Ave22/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoCasa PiaCasa Pia23/02/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.52
Away Teams 1.26
Total (Combined) 2.78
32.3 min/Goal (540 Goals in 194 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (114 times out of 194 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (91 times out of 194 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 25%
Away Win 34%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 31%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 44%
Under 3.5 69%
Under 4.5 88%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.18
Shots / Match (Home) 12.56
Shots / Match (Away) 11.62
Fouls Per Match 27.86
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.87
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.98
Offsides Per Match 3.24
Players Participated 603

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 21 18 2 1 42 7 +35 56 WWWLD
2 Sporting CP 21 16 4 1 55 12 +43 52 DWWWD
3 Benfica 22 15 7 0 46 13 +33 52 WWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 22 11 7 4 33 18 +15 40 WLWWW
5 Sporting Braga 22 11 6 5 45 20 +25 39 WWWWL
6 Famalicão 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32 LWWLW
7 Vitória Guimarães 22 9 4 9 25 31 -6 31 LLWLW
8 GD Estoril Praia 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30 LWWWD
9 Moreirense FC 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30 WLWLL
10 Alverca 22 7 4 11 22 37 -15 25 WLDLD
11 Estrela Amadora 22 5 8 9 26 39 -13 23 LLDWL
12 FC Arouca 22 6 5 11 28 49 -21 23 WLWWL
13 Casa Pia 22 5 7 10 25 41 -16 22 LDWDW
14 CD Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21 DLWLD
15 Rio Ave FC 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20 WLLLL
16 Santa Clara 22 4 5 13 17 28 -11 17 LLLLL
17 CD Tondela 22 3 6 13 15 36 -21 15 LLDDD
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5 LLDLL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
07/02/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
07/02/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Santa Clara
07/02/2026, 18:00 GD Estoril Praia 2 - 2 CD Tondela
07/02/2026, 20:30 FC Arouca 3 - 2 Vitória Guimarães
08/02/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
08/02/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave FC
08/02/2026, 20:30 Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca
09/02/2026, 18:45 Famalicão 3 - 1 AVS
09/02/2026, 20:45 Porto 1 - 1 Sporting CP

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
13/02/2026, 18:30 Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica
13/02/2026, 20:45 CD Tondela 1 - 1 Alverca
14/02/2026, 15:30 Casa Pia 3 - 2 FC Arouca
14/02/2026, 18:00 Vitória Guimarães 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
14/02/2026, 20:30 Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Sporting Braga
15/02/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional - Porto
15/02/2026, 18:00 AVS - GD Estoril Praia
15/02/2026, 20:30 Sporting CP - Famalicão
16/02/2026, 20:15 Rio Ave FC - Moreirense FC

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