Weekly Copa del Rey Betting Tips
Below you’ll find our weekly Copa del Rey tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.
Copa del Rey Betting Tips
Copa del Rey Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season
Outright betting in the Copa del Rey focuses on long-term outcomes across Spain’s top domestic cup competition. The most popular outright markets for the Copa del Rey include To Win and To Reach the Semi-Finals.
Who is most likely to win the Copa del Rey this season?
Priced at 15/8 (34%), Barcelona are the leading contenders to win the 2025/26 Copa del Rey, entering the season as defending champions with the core of their squad unchanged and boosted by the emergence of Lamine Yamal. The rise of 18-year-old Yamal has given the Catalan side a new attacking spark, as his pace and ability to change games with individual brilliance have already made him one of Spain’s standout performers.
With 32 Copa del Rey titles already and a squad combining experience with exciting young talent, Barcelona are once again the team best positioned to lift the Copa del Rey trophy this season.
Who is most likely to reach the semi-finals in the Copa del Rey this season?
The four clubs most likely to reach the Copa del Rey semi-finals in 2025/26 are Real Madrid, Barcelona, Athletic Club, and Real Betis. Each of these clubs brings a strong combination of squad stability, depth, and tactical heritage — essential attributes for navigating knockout formats of the Copa del Rey.
More information about the 4 leading Copa del Rey semi-final candidates is given below.
- Real Madrid. Real Madrid are bound to reach the Copa del Rey semi-finals thanks to an improved defence and the continued influence of Kylian Mbappé, whose presence turns tight matches in their favour. In recent seasons, Madrid have shown they are able to absorb pressure and win tense cup ties, and with upgrades at the back, they now blend solidity with firepower.
- Barcelona. Barcelona are one of the teams most likely to reach the Copa del Rey semi-finals because the core of their squad remains unchanged and they continue to build around rising star Lamine Yamal. Their continuity ensures cohesion and chemistry, while Yamal’s breakthrough performances add unpredictability and cutting edge in Barcelona’s attack.
- Athletic Club. Athletic Club are well placed to reach the semi-finals thanks to their consistent form in the Copa del Rey and their tradition of performing in national cup tournaments. Known for their strong defensive identity and fierce home support at San Mamés, Athletic Club typically raise their game when the stakes are highest.
- Real Betis. Real Betis are among the credible Copa del Rey semi-final contenders thanks to the leadership of Manuel Pellegrini and the club’s excellent internal team culture. Betis’ ability to galvanise during long cup runs, combined with a strong squad that handles pressure well, gives them a solid chance to push into the latter stages of the Copa del Rey.
Copa del Rey Betting Stats and Data
Our Copa del Rey football betting tips are based on several seasons of in-depth statistical analysis from Spain’s leading cup competition. This research tracks patterns in home and away wins, goals per match, and Both Teams to Score outcomes across different rounds. By prioritising long-term performance data over short-term fluctuations, our football prediction offers bettors a stable, data-driven foundation for identifying value and assessing risk throughout the Copa del Rey season.
Copa del Rey Stats (2025/2026)
| Team Type |
Average Goals Scored |
| Home Teams |
1.65 |
| Away Teams |
1.05 |
| Total (Combined) |
2.7 |
33.3 min/Goal
(54 Goals in 20 matches)
70% Clean Sheets
(14 times out of 20 matches)
40% Both Teams Scored
(8 times out of 20 matches)
| Outcome (Full-Time Result) |
% of Matches |
| Home Win |
50% |
| Draw |
25% |
| Away Win |
25% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Over |
| Over 0.5 |
90% |
| Over 1.5 |
85% |
| Over 2.5 |
50% |
| Over 3.5 |
35% |
| Over 4.5 |
10% |
| Goals |
% of Matches Under |
| Under 0.5 |
10% |
| Under 1.5 |
15% |
| Under 2.5 |
50% |
| Under 3.5 |
65% |
| Under 4.5 |
90% |
| Copa del Rey Match Stats (2025/2026) |
| Shots Per Match |
19.33 |
| Shots / Match (Home) |
10.78 |
| Shots / Match (Away) |
8.56 |
| Fouls Per Match |
3 |
| Fouls / Match (Home) |
1 |
| Fouls / Match (Away) |
2 |
| Offsides Per Match |
0 |
| Players Participated |
4 |
Copa del Rey Fixtures
| Date |
Match |
| 27/09/2025, 14:30 |
Atlètic Sant Just |
3 - 0 |
Atlético Calatayud |
| 27/09/2025, 15:00 |
Getxo |
0 - 0 |
Betis |
| 27/09/2025, 15:15 |
Puerto de Vega |
4 - 0 |
Alberite |
| 27/09/2025, 16:00 |
Sporting de Ceuta |
1 - 1 |
Maracena |
| 27/09/2025, 16:00 |
Manises |
2 - 0 |
Los Garres |
| 27/09/2025, 16:00 |
Textil Escudo |
2 - 1 |
Negreira |
| 27/09/2025, 16:45 |
Campanario |
0 - 0 |
Yuncos |
| 27/09/2025, 18:00 |
Atlético Melilla |
0 - 5 |
Palma del Río |
| 27/09/2025, 18:00 |
CE Sant Jordi |
1 - 0 |
Lourdes |
| 27/09/2025, 18:00 |
Inter de Valdemoro |
1 - 1 |
Universitario FC |
| 04/10/2025, 14:45 |
Alberite |
1 - 1 |
Puerto de Vega |
| 04/10/2025, 15:00 |
Betis |
1 - 2 |
Getxo |
| 04/10/2025, 15:30 |
Atlético Calatayud |
1 - 4 |
Atlètic Sant Just |
| 04/10/2025, 15:30 |
Negreira |
4 - 0 |
Textil Escudo |
| 04/10/2025, 15:30 |
Lourdes |
1 - 3 |
CE Sant Jordi |
| 04/10/2025, 16:00 |
Palma del Río |
2 - 0 |
Atlético Melilla |
| 04/10/2025, 16:00 |
Yuncos |
2 - 0 |
Campanario |
| 04/10/2025, 16:00 |
Los Garres |
4 - 0 |
Manises |
| 04/10/2025, 16:30 |
Maracena |
2 - 0 |
Sporting de Ceuta |
| 04/10/2025, 18:00 |
Universitario FC |
1 - 3 |
Inter de Valdemoro |
What are Copa del Rey Predictions?
Copa del Rey predictions are data-backed evaluations of the most probable outcomes across Spain’s national knockout tournament. These forecasts include long-term markets such as potential champions and semi-finalists, as well as match-specific bets like Correct Score and Over/Under goals. By combining statistical models with up-to-date team form and tactical analysis, our Copa del Rey predictions provide bettors with sharper insights and more consistent accuracy throughout every stage of the competition.
How are Copa del Rey Predictions determined?
Our analysts build accurate Copa del Rey predictions through a structured process that combines statistical analysis, squad evaluation, and betting market review. This approach reflects the unique nature of Spain’s most prestigious cup competition, where single-leg ties until the semi-finals and participation from lower-division clubs make results unpredictable.
The three main steps behind our Copa del Rey forecasts are as follows.
- Evaluating team form and knockout performance
- Assessing rotation policies and competition focus
- Comparing insights with bookmaker odds
- Evaluating team form and knockout performance. The first step in creating reliable Copa del Rey predictions involves examining how clubs perform under knockout pressure, particularly away from home against lower-tier opponents. Data such as goals per match, clean sheet ratios, and average margins of victory are reviewed across recent editions of the competition to inform our Copa del Rey predictions.
- Assessing rotation policies and competition focus. Once team form and historical patterns have been evaluated, the second step in creating Copa del Rey predictions examines how managers balance the Copa del Rey with league and European commitments. Top clubs like Barcelona and Real Madrid often rotate early, while mid-table and lower-tier sides view the tournament as a genuine shot at silverware or European qualification. Identifying which teams prioritise the Copa del Rey competition helps us predict deep runs and possible upsets.
- Comparing insights with bookmaker odds. The final step in producing reliable Copa del Rey forecasts aligns analytical findings with betting market trends to identify value opportunities. The Copa del Rey’s open structure and single-leg format regularly lead to surprising results, which means favourites are sometimes overvalued. By tracking line movements and comparing them with form data, our analysts highlight promising markets, ensuring every prediction reflects both statistical reliability and real-world betting potential.
When are Copa del Rey Predictions released?
We release our Copa del Rey predictions every Monday at 1:00 PM London Time, ahead of the midweek fixtures. Our goal is to deliver accurate, data-backed forecasts that help readers make informed football betting decisions. Each prediction is carefully reviewed by our football experts to ensure reliability and consistency throughout the Copa del Rey tournament.
What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the Copa del Rey?
The three most appealing betting markets for the Copa del Rey are Away Wins, Over 1.5 Goals, and Clean Sheets. Spain’s national cup consistently favours visiting La Liga (Primera división) sides facing lower-tier opponents, and its open, attacking style keeps goal counts high. At the same time, strong defensive structures from elite teams make clean sheets a frequent outcome.
More information about the 3 most appealing Copa del Rey betting markets is given below.
- Away Wins. Away Wins remain the most reliable Copa del Rey betting market. Over the last five seasons, away victories have averaged 61%, showing how top-tier Copa del Rey clubs frequently dominate even when playing on smaller grounds.
- Over 1.5 Goals. The Over 1.5 Goals market is one of the safest and most consistent in the Copa del Rey. Between 71% and 96% of matches over the past five Copa del Rey campaigns featured at least two goals, reflecting the attacking mindset and quality gap between divisions.
- Clean Sheets. Clean Sheets are another key betting angle, reflecting the defensive stability of top Spanish clubs. Across recent seasons, 51–65% of Copa del Rey fixtures saw one side fail to score. These numbers highlight how knockout pressure and structured play make shutouts common in the Copa del Rey competition, particularly when elite teams face lower-tier opposition.
| Season |
Home Wins |
Draws |
Away Wins |
Over 1.5 Goals |
Clean Sheets |
Avg Goals / Match |
| 2020/21 |
29% |
7% |
64% |
72% |
65% |
2.72 |
| 2021/22 |
28% |
11% |
61% |
77% |
51% |
3.00 |
| 2022/23 |
31% |
13% |
56% |
75% |
62% |
2.85 |
| 2023/24 |
25% |
10% |
65% |
71% |
63% |
2.83 |
| 2024/25 |
24% |
13% |
63% |
73% |
60% |
3.20 |
Copa del Rey Season Guide
The 2025/26 Copa del Rey marks the 124th edition of Spain’s oldest football competition. Organised by the Royal Spanish Football Federation (RFEF), the tournament features 125 clubs from all levels of Spanish football, from La Liga to regional divisions. The Copa del Rey winners earn a place in the 2026/27 UEFA Europa League group stage, while both finalists qualify for the 2027 Supercopa de España. Barcelona enter the season as defending champions after defeating Real Madrid in the 2024/25 final.
What Is the Format of the Copa del Rey 2025/26 Season?
The Copa del Rey follows a knockout format combining both single and two-legged ties. A new rule introduced by the Royal Spanish Football Federation (RFEF) makes the preliminary round a two-legged fixture, while all other rounds remain single matches, including the final. The teams that take part in the Copa del Rey competition are drawn based on geographical proximity in the early rounds, with lower-division clubs hosting higher-tier opponents. Clubs involved in the Supercopa de España (Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atlético Madrid, and Athletic Bilbao) enter at the Round of 32, facing teams from the lowest divisions. The Copa del Rey semi-finals are played over two legs, while all other stages are single matches decided by extra time and penalties if necessary.
What are the Start & End Dates for the Copa del Rey 2025/26?
The 2025/26 Copa del Rey begins with the preliminary round on 27 September 2025 and concludes with the final on 25 April 2026 at La Cartuja, Seville. After the opening round, the first round proper takes place between 28 and 30 October 2025, followed by the Round of 32 in mid-December and the Round of 16 in January 2026. The Copa del Rey quarter-finals are scheduled for early February, with the semi-finals played over two legs in February and March.
How are Copa del Rey Fixtures built up?
Copa del Rey fixtures are built up by the Royal Spanish Football Federation (RFEF) using regional and divisional criteria in the early stages to minimise travel and ensure competitive balance. Lower-tier teams always receive home advantage until the semi-finals, encouraging fairer contests and potential upsets. From the Round of 16 onward, draws are open and based on the luck of the draw. The Copa del Rey final is held at a neutral venue, extending the long-standing tradition of Spain’s national cup decider in Seville.
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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.
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- La Liga 2 Predictions. La Liga 2 forecasts follow Spain’s competitive second tier, focusing on promotion battles and key performers.
- Spain Super Cup Predictions. Our Spain Super Cup coverage previews the annual showdown between the top Spanish clubs, highlighting team form and standout players.
- Champions League Predictions. Champions League forecasts feature Europe’s best teams competing for the continent’s most prestigious trophy.
- Europa League Predictions. Our Europa League coverage follows leading European clubs in their pursuit of international success.
